NBA · Home Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ETMarket Move: Under 114.5 → 113.5 (-1.0 pts)

Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 11)

Prices as of Wed, Nov 11, 7:07 PM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Wed, Nov 11, 1:08 AM ET · Updated Wed, Nov 11, 5:59 PM ET

Desk Status: No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 16 books: 113.5 (11 consensus books · 16 tracked)
Market Move: 114.5 to 113.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
Lane closing-line timing: Ahead: 12 · At close: 1 · Behind: 3 (16 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: GSW 30.7% · HOU 69.3%
Consensus Spread: HOU -6.5
Consensus Total: 219.5
Market-Implied Score: GSW 106.5 – HOU 113

Market Brief: GSW @ HOU Home Team Total

Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 113.5 +102 / Under 113.5 -102 across 11 consensus sportsbooks (16 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 7:07 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 112.5 -120 at Caesars; Under 113.5 -110 at DraftKings.

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET), the line moved from 114.5 to 113.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 16 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET).

What is the GSW @ HOU home team total consensus line and best price per side?

How has the GSW @ HOU home team total moved from open to current?

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET), the line moved from 114.5 to 113.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 16 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for GSW @ HOU home team total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET).

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: GSW @ HOU

Why is the GSW @ HOU Home Team Total moving?

Wed, Nov 11, 1:01 AM ETMarket line moved 0.8 pts toward Over across 2 tracked sportsbooks.
Wed, Nov 11, 8:37 AM ETMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 9 tracked sportsbooks.

Over

Vig-free consensus 113.5 +102 (49.4% across 11 books)

Best price: 112.5 -120 at Caesars

Under

Vig-free consensus 113.5 -102 (50.6% across 11 books)

Best price: 113.5 -110 at DraftKings

GSW @ HOU Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Over	Under	Updated (ET)	Execution
BetMGM	113.5-110	113.5-118	Wed, Nov 11, 7:07 PM ET	BetMGM
Caesars	112.5-120	112.5-110	Wed, Nov 11, 7:06 PM ET	Caesars
DraftKings	113.5-110	113.5-110	Wed, Nov 11, 7:07 PM ET	DraftKings
FanDuel	113.5-106	113.5-114	Wed, Nov 11, 7:06 PM ET	FanDuel
Fanatics	113.5-110	113.5-120	Wed, Nov 11, 6:50 PM ET	Fanatics

Full market: 16 sportsbooks, consensus 113.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: GSW @ HOU Home Team Total

The Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets Houston Rockets team total opened at 114.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET) and currently sits at 113.5 across 16 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 7:07 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 1:01 AM ET, 2 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 0.8 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets Houston Rockets team total.

At Wed, Nov 11, 8:37 AM ET, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets Houston Rockets team total.

Across the 16 sportsbooks currently quoting the Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets Houston Rockets team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 11-book consensus prices Over at 113.5 +102 (49.4% vig-free probability) and Under at 113.5 -102 (50.6% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 112.5 -120 at Caesars; Under 113.5 -110 at DraftKings.

In the NBA team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 12 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 3 (16 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 80.0% of moved lines ahead of close (12 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Oct 21–Nov 8

Window	Ahead	At close	Behind	Measured
Season to date	12	1	3	16
Last 30 days	12	1	3	16

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 80% finished ahead of the close.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/golden-state-warriors-at-houston-rockets-home-team-total-2026-11-11-34782" title="Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/golden-state-warriors-at-houston-rockets-home-team-total-2026-11-11-34782">GSW @ HOU Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftGSW @ HOU · Points

GSW @ HOU · Golden State Warriors WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Golden State Warriors's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

GSW Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-16.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 89.6 vs. 106.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
83.0	92.6%	89.6	106.5 (-108)	-16.9

Compare GSW Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 107.5 (O -105)DraftKings 106.5 (O -108)BetMGM 106.5 (O -120)Caesars 106.5 (O -120)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 GSW · Prev 27.5 (-1.0)	26.5	32.1%	24.9%(-7.2% vs Hist)	+2.0		Team Tide Shift

Golden State Warriors (GSW)Team Tide Shift

-16.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 89.6 vs. 106.5 Posted Team Total)

Houston Rockets (HOU)Team Tide Shift

-4.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 108.6 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftGSW @ HOU · Points

GSW @ HOU · Houston Rockets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Houston Rockets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

HOU Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 3 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-4.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 108.6 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · vs. close: 96 Ahead / 12 At close / 42 BehindThrough Nov 10 ET

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

GSW @ HOU · HOU · Pts + Reb + AstLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Fred VanVleet · Pts + Reb + Ast

Posted Line: Locked (19.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: FanDuel (-113)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

GSW @ HOU · HOU · AssistsLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Posted Line: Locked (6.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: DraftKings (-110)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

GSW @ HOU · HOU · AssistsLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Posted Line: Locked (1.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: DraftKings (-117)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

GSW @ HOU · GSW · PointsLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Posted Line: Locked (26.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: ProphetX (+103)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Kevin Durant HOU · Prev 21.5 (0.0)	21.5	17.5%	18.9%(+1.4% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#2 HOU · Prev 20.5 (-1.0)	19.5	18.1%	17.2%(-0.9% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 HOU · Prev 15.5 (0.0)	15.5	10.7%	13.7%(+3.0% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#4 HOU · Prev 15.5 (-1.0)	14.5	15.6%	12.8%(-2.8% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 HOU · Prev 11.5 (0.0)	11.5	13.8%	10.1%(-3.7% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#6 HOU · Prev 9.5 (-1.0)	8.5	8.1%	7.5%(-0.6% vs Hist)	-2.0	Team Tide Shift

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Market Brief: GSW @ HOU Home Team Total

What is the GSW @ HOU home team total consensus line and best price per side?

How has the GSW @ HOU home team total moved from open to current?

What is the locked release status for GSW @ HOU home team total?

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: GSW @ HOU

Why is the GSW @ HOU Home Team Total moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

GSW @ HOU Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: GSW @ HOU Home Team Total

NBA Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

GSW @ HOU · Golden State Warriors WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

GSW @ HOU · Houston Rockets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Fred VanVleet · Pts + Reb + Ast

GSW @ HOU · Golden State Warriors WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

GSW @ HOU · Houston Rockets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Fred VanVleet · Pts + Reb + Ast