NBA Player Props vs. close: Ahead: 96 · At close: 12 · Behind: 42
ENES
Posted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-2.0 over 6 games)Locked Release · Opens at the Final

Fred VanVleet Pts + Reb + Ast Prop (Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets, ): Posted Line 19.5 vs WAGERBIRD Fair Line

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Read the Release on WAGERBIRD →WAGERBIRD Fair Line: —
Posted Prop Line
Locked Until Start
ProphetX
WAGERBIRD Fair Line
—
—
Posted Line Drift
21.5 → 19.5 (-2.0)
Last 6 Active Games
Matchup (ET)
GSW @ HOU
NBA Props Lane vs. Close
96 / 12 / 42
Ahead / At close / Behind

Sportsbook Posted Pts + Reb + Ast Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted pts + reb + ast total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 30 to Nov 11), sportsbooks adjusted Fred VanVleet's posted pts + reb + ast line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 21.5 to 19.5 (-2.0).22.521.720.920.119.318.521.520.520.520.520.519.5Oct 30HOU @ DALNov 2BOS @ HOUNov 4MIN @ HOUNov 7HOU @ PHXNov 9DEN @ HOUNov 11GSW @ HOU

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 30 to Nov 11), sportsbooks adjusted Fred VanVleet's posted pts + reb + ast line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 21.5 to 19.5 (-2.0).

6-Game Posted Pts + Reb + Ast Ledger (Fred VanVleet)

America/New_York (ET)
Date (ET)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
HOU @ DAL21.5 (-125)—27Over
BOS @ HOU(Missed 1g)20.5 (-105)-1.019Under
MIN @ HOU20.5 (-115)0.024Over
HOU @ PHX20.5 (+105)0.023Over
DEN @ HOU20.5 (-102)0.015Under
GSW @ HOU19.5 (-113)-1.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line across 6 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Compare Licensed Partner Books: Execute or compare live quotes and prediction markets (Kalshi code WBIRD1).
Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Fred VanVleet Pts + Reb + Ast Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +0.1 vs. -2.0 book step adjustment (+2.1 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+2.1Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0
Window Open Line
21.5
Current Posted Line
19.5
Book Cumulative Step
-2.0
Actual Window Avg
21.6
Actual Output Delta
+0.1
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Fred VanVleet Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Pts + Reb + Ast Line vs Actual Box-Score Output301227Oct 30@ DAL19Nov 2vs BOS24Nov 4vs MIN23Nov 7@ PHX15Nov 9vs DENNov 11vs GSW
Game (ET)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 30 · @ DAL21.5—27+5.5
Nov 2 · vs BOS20.5-1.019-1.5
Nov 4 · vs MIN20.50.024+3.5
Nov 7 · @ PHX20.50.023+2.5
Nov 9 · vs DEN20.50.015-5.5
Nov 11 · vs GSW19.5-1.0——
WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftGSW @ HOU · Points

GSW @ HOU · Houston Rockets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) ()

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Houston Rockets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

HOU Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 3 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-4.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 108.6 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total
Houston Rockets Core-6 Prop Sum 91.0 vs Implied Team Total 108.6 vs Posted Team Total 113.5Core-6 Prop Sum91.0Implied Team Total108.6Posted Team Total113.5
Core-6 SumCore-6 ShareImplied TotalPosted TotalReconciliation Gap
91.083.8%108.6113.5 (-106)-4.9
Core-6 PlayerTonight LineTeam Scoring Share %Tonight's Implied Prop Share %6-Game Line Drift6G TrendOutcome Tag
#1
Kevin Durant
HOU · Prev 21.5 (0.0)
21.517.5%18.9%(+1.4% vs Hist)-1.0Kevin Durant 6-game posted line trend from 22.5 to 21.5Steady Share
#2
Alperen Sengun
HOU · Prev 20.5 (-1.0)
19.518.1%17.2%(-0.9% vs Hist)+1.0Alperen Sengun 6-game posted line trend from 18.5 to 19.5Team Tide Shift
#3
Amen Thompson
HOU · Prev 15.5 (0.0)
15.510.7%13.7%(+3.0% vs Hist)-1.0Amen Thompson 6-game posted line trend from 16.5 to 15.5Steady Share
#4
Jabari Smith Jr.
HOU · Prev 15.5 (-1.0)
14.515.6%12.8%(-2.8% vs Hist)0.0Jabari Smith Jr. 6-game posted line trend from 14.5 to 14.5Team Tide Shift
#5
Fred VanVleet
HOU · Prev 11.5 (0.0)
11.513.8%10.1%(-3.7% vs Hist)-1.0Fred VanVleet 6-game posted line trend from 12.5 to 11.5Steady Share
#6
Tari Eason
HOU · Prev 9.5 (-1.0)
8.58.1%7.5%(-0.6% vs Hist)-2.0Tari Eason 6-game posted line trend from 10.5 to 8.5Team Tide Shift
Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.
Verified Player Write-Up Receipts1 Tracked Write-Up

Fred VanVleet Prop Write-Up Receipts: Results & Closing-Line Timing

1 active Fred VanVleet prop write-up tracked awaiting closing line settlement.

Fred VanVleet vs. close
0 Ahead · 0 At close · 0 Behind
0 Settled Receipts
Date (ET)MatchupMarketResultRelease QuoteClosing LineActualvs. CloseWrite-Up
Nov 11GSW @ HOUPts + Reb + Ast—Locked · 19.5 (-130) · FanDuel19.5——Read Write-Up →

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Every release is settled on the final stat line. Closing-line timing compares each timestamped release line and price with the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number; it measures entry timing, not the result (through Nov 10 ET).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowAhead of closeAt the closeBehind close
Season to date (from Sep 23 ET)961242
Last 30 days (from Oct 12 ET)961242