Fred VanVleet · Pts + Reb + Ast
- Posted Line
- Locked (19.5)
- Fair Line
- —
- Book
- FanDuel (-113)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at GSW +140 / HOU -140 across 20 consensus sportsbooks (20 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:24 PM ET). Best price per side: GSW +132 at FanDuel; HOU -155 at DraftKings.
Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:26 AM ET), implied probability moved from 60.8% to 61.5% toward HOU (0.8% implied probability) across 20 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET).
Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at GSW +140 / HOU -140 across 20 consensus sportsbooks (20 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:24 PM ET). Best price per side: GSW +132 at FanDuel; HOU -155 at DraftKings.
Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:26 AM ET), implied probability moved from 60.8% to 61.5% toward HOU (0.8% implied probability) across 20 sportsbooks.
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET).
Full market: 20 sportsbooks, consensus GSW +140. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
The Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets first-quarter moneyline opened at 60.8% implied probability for HOU on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 12:26 AM ET) and currently sits at 61.5% implied probability for HOU across 20 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.8% implied probability, with net market movement toward HOU. Scheduled kickoff is Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:24 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 10:42 AM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward HOU by a median of 1.9% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets first-quarter moneyline.
Across the 20 sportsbooks currently quoting the Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.6% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 20-book consensus prices GSW at +140 (41.7% vig-free probability) and HOU at -140 (58.3% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: GSW +132 at FanDuel; HOU -155 at DraftKings.
Every NBA first-quarter moneylines release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also reports Closing Line Value (CLV): Ahead of close, At the close, or Behind close against the release sportsbook's closing number. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/golden-state-warriors-at-houston-rockets-1q-moneyline-2026-11-11-34782" title="Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/golden-state-warriors-at-houston-rockets-1q-moneyline-2026-11-11-34782">GSW @ HOU 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Golden State Warriors's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
-16.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 89.6 vs. 106.5 Posted Team Total)
-16.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 89.6 vs. 106.5 Posted Team Total)
-4.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 108.6 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Houston Rockets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
-4.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 108.6 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)
| 17.5 |
| 19.2% |
| 16.4%(-2.8% vs Hist) |
| -2.0 |
| Team Tide Shift |
#3 Brandin Podziemski GSW · Prev 15.5 (0.0) | 15.5 | 16.8% | 14.6%(-2.2% vs Hist) | -1.0 | Steady Share |
#4 De'Anthony Melton GSW · Prev 9.5 (-1.0) | 8.5 | 10.1% | 8.0%(-2.1% vs Hist) | -2.0 | Team Tide Shift |
#5 Georges Niang GSW · Prev 7.5 (0.0) | 7.5 | 9.4% | 7.0%(-2.4% vs Hist) | -1.0 | Steady Share |
#6 Gui Santos GSW · Prev 8.5 (-1.0) | 7.5 | 5.0% | 7.0%(+2.0% vs Hist) | -1.0 | Team Tide Shift |