NBA · 1st Half SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET

Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets 1st Half Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 11)

Prices as of Wed, Nov 11, 7:07 PM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Wed, Nov 11, 8:58 AM ET · Updated Wed, Nov 11, 12:29 PM ET

Desk Status: No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 24 books: GSW +3.5 (19 consensus books · 24 tracked)
Market Move: HOU -3.5 to -3.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
Lane closing-line timing: Ahead: 1 · At close: 0 · Behind: 1 (2 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: GSW 30.7% · HOU 69.3%
Consensus Spread: HOU -6.5
Consensus Total: 219.5
Market-Implied Score: GSW 106.5 – HOU 113

Market Brief: GSW @ HOU 1st Half Spread

Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at GSW +3.5 -100 / HOU -3.5 +100 across 19 consensus sportsbooks (24 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 7:07 PM ET). Best price per side: GSW +3.5 -105 at ProphetX; HOU -3.5 +100 at ProphetX.

The line is unchanged since open (HOU -3.5) across 24 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET).

What is the GSW @ HOU 1st half spread consensus line and best price per side?

How has the GSW @ HOU 1st half spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (HOU -3.5) across 24 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for GSW @ HOU 1st half spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET).

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: GSW @ HOU

Why is the GSW @ HOU 1st Half Spread moving?

Wed, Nov 11, 8:56 AM ETMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward GSW across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

GSW

Vig-free consensus +3.5 -100 (50% across 19 books)

Best price: +3.5 -105 at ProphetX

HOU

Vig-free consensus -3.5 +100 (50% across 19 books)

Best price: -3.5 +100 at ProphetX

GSW @ HOU 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	GSW	HOU	Updated (ET)	Execution
BetMGM	+3.5-110	-3.5-110	Wed, Nov 11, 7:06 PM ET	BetMGM
Caesars	+3.5-110	-3.5-110	Wed, Nov 11, 6:48 PM ET	Caesars
DraftKings	+3.5-108	-3.5-112	Wed, Nov 11, 7:06 PM ET	DraftKings
FanDuel	+3.5-114	-3.5-106	Wed, Nov 11, 7:05 PM ET	FanDuel
Fanatics	+3.5-120	-3.5-110	Wed, Nov 11, 6:50 PM ET	Fanatics
ProphetX	+3.5-105	-3.5+100	Wed, Nov 11, 6:57 PM ET	ProphetX

Full market: 24 sportsbooks, consensus GSW +3.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: GSW @ HOU 1st Half Spread

The Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets first-half spread opened at HOU -3.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 12:26 AM ET) and currently sits at HOU -3.5 across 24 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 7:07 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 8:56 AM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward GSW by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets first-half spread.

Across the 24 sportsbooks currently quoting the Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 19-book consensus prices GSW at +3.5 -100 (50.0% vig-free probability) and HOU at -3.5 +100 (50.0% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: GSW +3.5 -105 at ProphetX; HOU -3.5 +100 at ProphetX.

In the NBA first-half spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 1 · At the close: 0 · Behind close: 1 (2 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA First-Half Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 50.0% of moved lines ahead of close (1 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 1 Behind close) · Oct 26–Nov 9

Window	Ahead	At close	Behind	Measured
Season to date	1	0	1	2
Last 30 days	1	0	1	2

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets (1st Half Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/golden-state-warriors-at-houston-rockets-1h-spread-2026-11-11-34782" title="Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/golden-state-warriors-at-houston-rockets-1h-spread-2026-11-11-34782">GSW @ HOU 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftGSW @ HOU · Points

GSW @ HOU · Golden State Warriors WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Golden State Warriors's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

GSW Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-16.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 89.6 vs. 106.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
83.0	92.6%	89.6	106.5 (-108)	-16.9

Compare GSW Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 107.5 (O -105)DraftKings 106.5 (O -108)BetMGM 106.5 (O -120)Caesars 106.5 (O -120)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 GSW · Prev 27.5 (-1.0)	26.5	32.1%	24.9%(-7.2% vs Hist)	+2.0		Team Tide Shift

Golden State Warriors (GSW)Team Tide Shift

-16.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 89.6 vs. 106.5 Posted Team Total)

Houston Rockets (HOU)Team Tide Shift

-4.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 108.6 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftGSW @ HOU · Points

GSW @ HOU · Houston Rockets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Houston Rockets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

HOU Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 3 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-4.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 108.6 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · vs. close: 96 Ahead / 12 At close / 42 BehindThrough Nov 10 ET

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

GSW @ HOU · HOU · Pts + Reb + AstLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Fred VanVleet · Pts + Reb + Ast

Posted Line: Locked (19.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: FanDuel (-113)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

GSW @ HOU · HOU · AssistsLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Posted Line: Locked (6.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: DraftKings (-110)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

GSW @ HOU · HOU · AssistsLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Posted Line: Locked (1.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: DraftKings (-117)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

GSW @ HOU · GSW · PointsLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Posted Line: Locked (26.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: ProphetX (+103)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Kevin Durant HOU · Prev 21.5 (0.0)	21.5	17.5%	18.9%(+1.4% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#2 HOU · Prev 20.5 (-1.0)	19.5	18.1%	17.2%(-0.9% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 HOU · Prev 15.5 (0.0)	15.5	10.7%	13.7%(+3.0% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#4 HOU · Prev 15.5 (-1.0)	14.5	15.6%	12.8%(-2.8% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 HOU · Prev 11.5 (0.0)	11.5	13.8%	10.1%(-3.7% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#6 HOU · Prev 9.5 (-1.0)	8.5	8.1%	7.5%(-0.6% vs Hist)	-2.0	Team Tide Shift

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Market Brief: GSW @ HOU 1st Half Spread

What is the GSW @ HOU 1st half spread consensus line and best price per side?

How has the GSW @ HOU 1st half spread moved from open to current?

What is the locked release status for GSW @ HOU 1st half spread?

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: GSW @ HOU

Why is the GSW @ HOU 1st Half Spread moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

GSW @ HOU 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: GSW @ HOU 1st Half Spread

NBA First-Half Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

GSW @ HOU · Golden State Warriors WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

GSW @ HOU · Houston Rockets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Fred VanVleet · Pts + Reb + Ast

GSW @ HOU · Golden State Warriors WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

GSW @ HOU · Houston Rockets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Fred VanVleet · Pts + Reb + Ast