Stephen Curry (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Stephen Curry's posted points line upward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 24.5 to 26.5 (+2.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Stephen Curry)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSW @ DEN | 24.5 (-103) | — | 24 | Under | |
| GSW @ MIN | 23.5 (-115) | -1.0 | 44 | Over | |
| LAL @ GSW | 24.5 (-113) | +1.0 | 31 | Over | |
| PHX @ GSW(Missed 1g) | 25.5 (-125) | +1.0 | 34 | Over | |
| MIA @ GSW | 28.5 (-108) | +3.0 | 29 | Over | |
| ORL @ GSW | 26.5 (-106) | -2.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Stephen Curry Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Actual output +7.9 vs. +2.0 book step adjustment (+5.9 Unpriced Book Lag).
- Window Open Line
- 24.5
- Current Posted Line
- 26.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 32.4
- Actual Output Delta
- +7.9
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 · @ DEN | 24.5 | — | 24 | -0.5 |
| Oct 28 · @ MIN | 23.5 | -1.0 | 44 | +20.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs LAL | 24.5 | +1.0 | 31 | +6.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs PHX | 25.5 | +1.0 | 34 | +8.5 |
| Nov 5 · vs MIA | 28.5 | +3.0 | 29 | +0.5 |
| Nov 7 · vs ORL | 26.5 | -2.0 | — | — |
Stephen Curry Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Stephen Curry.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Stephen Curry.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |