Gui Santos (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 9), sportsbooks adjusted Gui Santos's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 12.5 to 8.5 (-4.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Gui Santos)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSW @ PHX | 12.5 (-115) | — | 7 | Under | |
| GSW @ DEN | 8.5 (-117) | -4.0 | 13 | Over | |
| LAL @ GSW | 8.5 (-126) | 0.0 | 2 | Under | |
| LAC @ GSW | 10.5 (+108) | +2.0 | 4 | Under | |
| ORL @ GSW | 7.5 (-121) | -3.0 | 3 | Under | |
| NOP @ GSW | 8.5 (+105) | +1.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Gui Santos Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted -4.0 vs. -6.7 actual output delta (-2.7 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 12.5
- Current Posted Line
- 8.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -4.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 5.8
- Actual Output Delta
- -6.7
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 · @ PHX | 12.5 | — | 7 | -5.5 |
| Oct 26 · @ DEN | 8.5 | -4.0 | 13 | +4.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs LAL | 8.5 | 0.0 | 2 | -6.5 |
| Nov 1 · vs LAC | 10.5 | +2.0 | 4 | -6.5 |
| Nov 7 · vs ORL | 7.5 | -3.0 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Nov 9 · vs NOP | 8.5 | +1.0 | — | — |
Gui Santos Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Gui Santos.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Gui Santos.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (87 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 8 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 87 | 12 | 41 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 10 CT) | 87 | 12 | 41 |