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Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
Why it’s on the board
One of these teams is replacing a quarterback-centered rushing attack with a more conventional passing game. The other side must turn short completions into sustained possessions while keeping pressure out of the pocket.
1The pick
Northern Illinois Huskies +24.5
-110 · 4 units
2The why
Northern Illinois can stay within the spread because UNLV's uneven passing production leaves room for a usable rushing game and concentrated receiving role to keep the deficit manageable.
UNLV can attack the quarterback-run lanes that Wyoming exploited and turn routine possessions into touchdowns. If Northern Illinois repeats its giveaways against Hawai'i, short fields can remove the need for sustained drives. A growing deficit could force Dickens into obvious passing situations, where sacks and failed third downs compound the problem. Defensive or special-teams scoring could make otherwise adequate offensive production insufficient.
3The result
Win
Final · NIU 24 · UNLV 31
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