NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: GSWPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Up (+2.0 over 6 games)

Yaxel Lendeborg (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
Active Release Tonight · ORL @ GSW ()
Yaxel Lendeborg Points: Posted 18.5 · Free Pick OVER
Open Tonight's Prop Dossier →

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game vs. WagerBird Modeled Fair Line.

Posted Book Line WagerBird Fair (20.3 / -188)
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Yaxel Lendeborg's posted points line upward in 1 of 5 game-over-game steps from 16.5 to 18.5 (+2.0). WagerBird's modeled fair line for ORL @ GSW is 20.3 (-188).21.520.319.117.916.715.5WB FAIR LINE: 20.316.519.519.518.518.518.5Oct 28GSW @ MINOct 30LAL @ GSWNov 1LAC @ GSWNov 2PHX @ GSWNov 5MIA @ GSWNov 7ORL @ GSW

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Yaxel Lendeborg's posted points line upward in 1 of 5 game-over-game steps from 16.5 to 18.5 (+2.0). WagerBird's modeled fair line for ORL @ GSW is 20.3 (-188).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Yaxel Lendeborg)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
GSW @ MIN16.5 (-107)—26Over
LAL @ GSW19.5 (-102)+3.06Under
LAC @ GSW19.5 (-118)0.037Over
PHX @ GSW18.5 (-122)-1.016Under
MIA @ GSW18.5 (-120)0.017Under
ORL @ GSW18.5 (+100)0.0—Fair 20.3

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Yaxel Lendeborg Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +3.9 vs. +2.0 book step adjustment (+1.9 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+1.9Max Single-Game Book Step: +3.0
Window Open Line
16.5
Current Posted Line
18.5
Book Cumulative Step
+2.0
Actual Window Avg
20.4
Actual Output Delta
+3.9
Modeled Fair Value
20.3 (-188)
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Yaxel Lendeborg Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output45026Oct 28@ MIN6Oct 30vs LAL37Nov 1vs LAC16Nov 2vs PHX17Nov 5vs MIANov 7vs ORL
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 28 · @ MIN16.5—26+9.5
Oct 30 · vs LAL19.5+3.06-13.5
Nov 1 · vs LAC19.50.037+17.5
Nov 2 · vs PHX18.5-1.016-2.5
Nov 5 · vs MIA18.50.017-1.5
Nov 7 · vs ORL18.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Yaxel Lendeborg Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 active Yaxel Lendeborg prop write-up tracked awaiting closing line settlement.

Yaxel Lendeborg CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Nov 7ORL @ GSWPointsOver 17.5 (-119) · ProphetX18.5——Read Write-Up →

Yaxel Lendeborg WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Nov 7ORL @ GSWPointsOver 17.518.5——

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136