NBA · 1st Quarter TotalMarket MovementKickoff Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ETMarket Move: Under 54.5 → 54 (-0.5 pts)

Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets 1st Quarter Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 11)

Prices as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:28 PM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Wed, Nov 11, 12:22 PM ET · Updated Wed, Nov 11, 5:52 PM ET

Desk Status: No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 19 books: 53.5 (9 consensus books · 19 tracked)
Market Move: 54.5 to 54 (0.5 pts toward Under)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: GSW 30.7% · HOU 69.3%
Consensus Spread: HOU -6.5
Consensus Total: 219.5
Market-Implied Score: GSW 106.5 – HOU 113

Market Brief: GSW @ HOU 1st Quarter Total

Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets 1st Quarter Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 53.5 -105 / Under 53.5 +105 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (19 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:28 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 53.5 -120 at DraftKings; Under 54.5 -118 at BetMGM.

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:26 AM ET), the line moved from 54.5 to 54 toward Under (0.5 pts) across 19 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET).

What is the GSW @ HOU 1st quarter total consensus line and best price per side?

How has the GSW @ HOU 1st quarter total moved from open to current?

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:26 AM ET), the line moved from 54.5 to 54 toward Under (0.5 pts) across 19 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for GSW @ HOU 1st quarter total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET).

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: GSW @ HOU

Why is the GSW @ HOU 1st Quarter Total moving?

Wed, Nov 11, 12:15 PM ETMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Over

Vig-free consensus 53.5 -105 (51.3% across 9 books)

Best price: 53.5 -120 at DraftKings

Under

Vig-free consensus 53.5 +105 (48.8% across 9 books)

Best price: 54.5 -118 at BetMGM

GSW @ HOU 1st Quarter Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Over	Under	Updated (ET)	Execution
BetMGM	54.5-102	54.5-118	Wed, Nov 11, 6:26 PM ET	BetMGM
Caesars	53.5-125	53.5-105	Wed, Nov 11, 5:56 PM ET	Caesars
DraftKings	53.5-120	53.5+100	Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET	DraftKings
FanDuel	54.5-102	54.5-125	Wed, Nov 11, 6:26 PM ET	FanDuel
Fanatics	53.5-125	53.5-105	Wed, Nov 11, 6:14 PM ET	Fanatics

Full market: 19 sportsbooks, consensus 53.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: GSW @ HOU 1st Quarter Total

The Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets first-quarter total opened at 54.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 12:26 AM ET) and currently sits at 54 across 19 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:28 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 12:15 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets first-quarter total.

Across the 19 sportsbooks currently quoting the Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets first-quarter total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 9-book consensus prices Over at 53.5 -105 (51.2% vig-free probability) and Under at 53.5 +105 (48.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 53.5 -120 at DraftKings; Under 54.5 -118 at BetMGM.

Every NBA first-quarter game totals release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also reports Closing Line Value (CLV): Ahead of close, At the close, or Behind close against the release sportsbook's closing number. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets (1st Quarter Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/golden-state-warriors-at-houston-rockets-1q-total-2026-11-11-34782" title="Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets 1st Quarter Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/golden-state-warriors-at-houston-rockets-1q-total-2026-11-11-34782">GSW @ HOU 1st Quarter Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftGSW @ HOU · Points

GSW @ HOU · Golden State Warriors WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Golden State Warriors's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

GSW Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-16.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 89.6 vs. 106.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
83.0	92.6%	89.6	106.5 (-108)	-16.9

Compare GSW Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 107.5 (O -105)DraftKings 106.5 (O -108)BetMGM 106.5 (O -120)Caesars 106.5 (O -120)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 GSW · Prev 27.5 (-1.0)	26.5	32.1%	24.9%(-7.2% vs Hist)	+2.0		Team Tide Shift

Golden State Warriors (GSW)Team Tide Shift

-16.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 89.6 vs. 106.5 Posted Team Total)

Houston Rockets (HOU)Team Tide Shift

-4.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 108.6 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftGSW @ HOU · Points

GSW @ HOU · Houston Rockets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Houston Rockets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

HOU Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 3 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-4.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 108.6 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · vs. close: 96 Ahead / 12 At close / 42 BehindThrough Nov 10 ET

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

GSW @ HOU · HOU · Pts + Reb + AstLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Fred VanVleet · Pts + Reb + Ast

Posted Line: Locked (19.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: FanDuel (-113)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

GSW @ HOU · HOU · AssistsLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Posted Line: Locked (6.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: DraftKings (-110)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

GSW @ HOU · HOU · AssistsLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Posted Line: Locked (1.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: DraftKings (-117)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

GSW @ HOU · GSW · PointsLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Posted Line: Locked (26.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: ProphetX (+102)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Kevin Durant HOU · Prev 21.5 (0.0)	21.5	17.5%	18.9%(+1.4% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#2 HOU · Prev 20.5 (-1.0)	19.5	18.1%	17.2%(-0.9% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 HOU · Prev 15.5 (0.0)	15.5	10.7%	13.7%(+3.0% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#4 HOU · Prev 15.5 (-1.0)	14.5	15.6%	12.8%(-2.8% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 HOU · Prev 11.5 (0.0)	11.5	13.8%	10.1%(-3.7% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#6 HOU · Prev 9.5 (-1.0)	8.5	8.1%	7.5%(-0.6% vs Hist)	-2.0	Team Tide Shift

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Market Brief: GSW @ HOU 1st Quarter Total

What is the GSW @ HOU 1st quarter total consensus line and best price per side?

How has the GSW @ HOU 1st quarter total moved from open to current?

What is the locked release status for GSW @ HOU 1st quarter total?

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: GSW @ HOU

Why is the GSW @ HOU 1st Quarter Total moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

GSW @ HOU 1st Quarter Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: GSW @ HOU 1st Quarter Total

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

GSW @ HOU · Golden State Warriors WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

GSW @ HOU · Houston Rockets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Fred VanVleet · Pts + Reb + Ast

GSW @ HOU · Golden State Warriors WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

GSW @ HOU · Houston Rockets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Fred VanVleet · Pts + Reb + Ast