Fred VanVleet (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Fred VanVleet's posted points line downward in 1 of 5 game-over-game steps from 12.5 to 11.5 (-1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Fred VanVleet)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL @ HOU | 12.5 (-104) | — | 5 | Under | |
| HOU @ MIL | 12.5 (-105) | 0.0 | 24 | Over | |
| HOU @ DAL | 12.5 (-108) | 0.0 | 16 | Over | |
| BOS @ HOU(Missed 1g) | 11.5 (-115) | -1.0 | 8 | Under | |
| MIN @ HOU | 11.5 (-130) | 0.0 | 18 | Over | |
| HOU @ PHX | 11.5 (-115) | 0.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Fred VanVleet Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Actual output +1.7 vs. -1.0 book step adjustment (+2.7 Unpriced Book Lag).
- Window Open Line
- 12.5
- Current Posted Line
- 11.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 14.2
- Actual Output Delta
- +1.7
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 · vs ATL | 12.5 | — | 5 | -7.5 |
| Oct 28 · @ MIL | 12.5 | 0.0 | 24 | +11.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ DAL | 12.5 | 0.0 | 16 | +3.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs BOS | 11.5 | -1.0 | 8 | -3.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs MIN | 11.5 | 0.0 | 18 | +6.5 |
| Nov 7 · @ PHX | 11.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
Fred VanVleet Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Fred VanVleet.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Fred VanVleet.
Fred VanVleet WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | MIN @ HOU | Assists | Over 5.5 | 5.5 | 3 | Beat |
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |