Alperen Sengun Assists Prop (Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets, ): Posted Line 6.5 vs WAGERBIRD Fair Line
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Posted Prop Line
- Locked Until Start
- ProphetX
- WAGERBIRD Fair Line
- —
- —
- Posted Line Drift
- 5.5 → 6.5 (+1.0)
- Last 6 Active Games
- Matchup (ET)
- GSW @ HOU
- NBA Props Lane vs. Close
- 96 / 12 / 42
- Ahead / At close / Behind
Sportsbook Posted Assists Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted assists total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 31 to Nov 11), sportsbooks adjusted Alperen Sengun's posted assists line upward in 1 of 5 game-over-game steps from 5.5 to 6.5 (+1.0).
6-Game Posted Assists Ledger (Alperen Sengun)
America/New_York (ET)Canonical pre-game posted line across 6 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Alperen Sengun Assists Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Actual output +2.9 vs. +1.0 book step adjustment (+1.9 Unpriced Book Lag).
- Window Open Line
- 5.5
- Current Posted Line
- 6.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 8.4
- Actual Output Delta
- +2.9
GSW @ HOU · Houston Rockets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) ()
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Houston Rockets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)
-4.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 108.6 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)
Alperen Sengun Prop Write-Up Receipts: Results & Closing-Line Timing
Closing-line timing across 3 settled Alperen Sengun prop write-ups: 2 Ahead of close / 1 At the close / 0 Behind close. Each write-up is settled on the final stat line.
Archived Settled Alperen Sengun Prop Write-Ups
Sengun's shot volume and Houston's depleted center depth support the workload needed to reach twenty points.
Counter-Case: Gobert can hold his ground without help and push Sengun toward contested finishes. Early fouls or repeated kick-outs to shooters can replace the shot attempts needed to reach twenty points.
Sengun's established shot and free-throw volume can support a normal scoring night without repeating his early-season peak.
Counter-Case: Renewed back discomfort or early fouls could shorten Sengun's night. Boston can pressure his post touches and make passing the better option. A restrained Houston scoring night leaves less room for missed interior attempts.
Sengun's established passing workload can produce five assists without requiring a scoring spike.
Counter-Case: VanVleet can direct more possessions from the perimeter, leaving Sengun to finish rather than make the final pass. Atlanta can stay with his receivers, while missed jump shots can prevent useful passes from becoming assists.
Sengun's established shot volume supports reaching eighteen points without repeating his opening-game shooting efficiency.
Counter-Case: San Antonio can use Wembanyama's length to force Sengun away from clean interior finishes and toward passes. Durant and Smith can take a larger share of Houston's shots, leaving Sengun short despite a competitive game.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)
Every release is settled on the final stat line. Closing-line timing compares each timestamped release line and price with the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number; it measures entry timing, not the result (through Nov 10 ET).