NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: HOUPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 6 games)

Jabari Smith Jr. (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
Jabari Smith Jr. Releases: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Jabari Smith Jr.'s posted points line downward in 1 of 5 game-over-game steps from 15.5 to 14.5 (-1.0).17.516.715.915.114.313.515.516.514.514.514.514.5Oct 28HOU @ MILOct 30HOU @ DALOct 31OKC @ HOUNov 2BOS @ HOUNov 4MIN @ HOUNov 7HOU @ PHX

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Jabari Smith Jr.'s posted points line downward in 1 of 5 game-over-game steps from 15.5 to 14.5 (-1.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Jabari Smith Jr.)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
HOU @ MIL15.5 (-120)—14Under
HOU @ DAL16.5 (-105)+1.022Over
OKC @ HOU14.5 (-125)-2.030Over
BOS @ HOU14.5 (-105)0.014Under
MIN @ HOU14.5 (+102)0.011Under
HOU @ PHX14.5 (+106)0.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +2.7 vs. -1.0 book step adjustment (+3.7 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+3.7Max Single-Game Book Step: -2.0
Window Open Line
15.5
Current Posted Line
14.5
Book Cumulative Step
-1.0
Actual Window Avg
18.2
Actual Output Delta
+2.7
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Jabari Smith Jr. Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output35714Oct 28@ MIL22Oct 30@ DAL30Oct 31vs OKC14Nov 2vs BOS11Nov 4vs MINNov 7@ PHX
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 28 · @ MIL15.5—14-1.5
Oct 30 · @ DAL16.5+1.022+5.5
Oct 31 · vs OKC14.5-2.030+15.5
Nov 2 · vs BOS14.50.014-0.5
Nov 4 · vs MIN14.50.011-3.5
Nov 7 · @ PHX14.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Jabari Smith Jr. Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Jabari Smith Jr..

Jabari Smith Jr. CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Jabari Smith Jr..

Jabari Smith Jr. WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Nov 2BOS @ HOUPts + Reb + AstOver 22.522.524Lost

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136