NBA Player Props vs. close: Ahead: 96 · At close: 12 · Behind: 42
ENES
Posted Line Trajectory: Trending Up (+2.0 over 6 games)Locked Release · Opens at the Final

Stephen Curry Points Prop (Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets, ): Posted Line 26.5 vs WAGERBIRD Fair Line

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Read the Release on WAGERBIRD →WAGERBIRD Fair Line: —
Posted Prop Line
Locked Until Start
ProphetX
WAGERBIRD Fair Line
—
—
Posted Line Drift
24.5 → 26.5 (+2.0)
Last 6 Active Games
Matchup (ET)
GSW @ HOU
NBA Props Lane vs. Close
96 / 12 / 42
Ahead / At close / Behind

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 30 to Nov 11), sportsbooks adjusted Stephen Curry's posted points line upward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 24.5 to 26.5 (+2.0).29.528.327.125.924.723.524.525.528.525.527.526.5Oct 30LAL @ GSWNov 2PHX @ GSWNov 5MIA @ GSWNov 7ORL @ GSWNov 9NOP @ GSWNov 11GSW @ HOU

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 30 to Nov 11), sportsbooks adjusted Stephen Curry's posted points line upward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 24.5 to 26.5 (+2.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Stephen Curry)

America/New_York (ET)
Date (ET)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
LAL @ GSW24.5 (-113)—31Over
PHX @ GSW(Missed 1g)25.5 (-125)+1.034Over
MIA @ GSW28.5 (-108)+3.029Over
ORL @ GSW25.5 (-115)-3.041Over
NOP @ GSW27.5 (-110)+2.025Under
GSW @ HOU26.5 (+103)-1.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line across 6 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Compare Licensed Partner Books: Execute or compare live quotes and prediction markets (Kalshi code WBIRD1).
Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Stephen Curry Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +7.5 vs. +2.0 book step adjustment (+5.5 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+5.5Max Single-Game Book Step: -3.0
Window Open Line
24.5
Current Posted Line
26.5
Book Cumulative Step
+2.0
Actual Window Avg
32.0
Actual Output Delta
+7.5
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Stephen Curry Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output462131Oct 30vs LAL34Nov 2vs PHX29Nov 5vs MIA41Nov 7vs ORL25Nov 9vs NOPNov 11@ HOU
Game (ET)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 30 · vs LAL24.5—31+6.5
Nov 2 · vs PHX25.5+1.034+8.5
Nov 5 · vs MIA28.5+3.029+0.5
Nov 7 · vs ORL25.5-3.041+15.5
Nov 9 · vs NOP27.5+2.025-2.5
Nov 11 · @ HOU26.5-1.0——
WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftGSW @ HOU · Points

GSW @ HOU · Golden State Warriors WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) ()

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Golden State Warriors's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

GSW Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-16.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 89.6 vs. 106.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total
Golden State Warriors Core-6 Prop Sum 83.0 vs Implied Team Total 89.6 vs Posted Team Total 106.5Core-6 Prop Sum83.0Implied Team Total89.6Posted Team Total106.5
Core-6 SumCore-6 ShareImplied TotalPosted TotalReconciliation Gap
83.092.6%89.6106.5 (-108)-16.9
Core-6 PlayerTonight LineTeam Scoring Share %Tonight's Implied Prop Share %6-Game Line Drift6G TrendOutcome Tag
#1
Stephen Curry
GSW · Prev 27.5 (-1.0)
26.532.1%24.9%(-7.2% vs Hist)+2.0Stephen Curry 6-game posted line trend from 24.5 to 26.5Team Tide Shift
#2
Yaxel Lendeborg
GSW · Prev 19.5 (-2.0)
17.519.2%16.4%(-2.8% vs Hist)-2.0Yaxel Lendeborg 6-game posted line trend from 19.5 to 17.5Team Tide Shift
#3
Brandin Podziemski
GSW · Prev 15.5 (0.0)
15.516.8%14.6%(-2.2% vs Hist)-1.0Brandin Podziemski 6-game posted line trend from 16.5 to 15.5Steady Share
#4
De'Anthony Melton
GSW · Prev 9.5 (-1.0)
8.510.1%8.0%(-2.1% vs Hist)-2.0De'Anthony Melton 6-game posted line trend from 10.5 to 8.5Team Tide Shift
#5
Georges Niang
GSW · Prev 7.5 (0.0)
7.59.4%7.0%(-2.4% vs Hist)-1.0Georges Niang 6-game posted line trend from 8.5 to 7.5Steady Share
#6
Gui Santos
GSW · Prev 8.5 (-1.0)
7.55.0%7.0%(+2.0% vs Hist)-1.0Gui Santos 6-game posted line trend from 8.5 to 7.5Team Tide Shift
Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.
Verified Player Write-Up Receipts1 Tracked Write-Up

Stephen Curry Prop Write-Up Receipts: Results & Closing-Line Timing

1 active Stephen Curry prop write-up tracked awaiting closing line settlement.

Stephen Curry vs. close
0 Ahead · 0 At close · 0 Behind
0 Settled Receipts
Date (ET)MatchupMarketResultRelease QuoteClosing LineActualvs. CloseWrite-Up
Nov 11GSW @ HOUPoints—Locked · 26.5 (+113) · ProphetX26.5——Read Write-Up →

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Every release is settled on the final stat line. Closing-line timing compares each timestamped release line and price with the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number; it measures entry timing, not the result (through Nov 10 ET).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowAhead of closeAt the closeBehind close
Season to date (from Sep 23 ET)961242
Last 30 days (from Oct 12 ET)961242