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// THE TERMINAL · LIVE

Every game.
Every market. Every edge.

Terminal opens the full WagerBird board. Every confidence-scored signal across every covered sport, every day. Mainlines, totals, team totals, F5, run lines. Multiple picks per game. The signals retail bettors can't price, surfaced and ranked by the same model the desk runs internally. You stop chasing parlays and start trading edges.

US majors and major European leagues. Coverage growing.

Coverage
Full board
US majors in season plus major European soccer. New markets adding regularly.
Confidence range
25–100
Every signal scored. GEMs at 96 to 100. Nothing below 25 publishes.
Points-Back-on-Loss
Auto
Lose a pre-game pick, the Points return automatically. WagerBird does not profit from losses.

// AUDIENCE

Who Terminal is for. And who it is not.

Terminal is built for one kind of customer. Read both columns. If the right column reads as you, this is not the product for you and that is fine.

// FOR YOU IF

You operate like a trader.

  • You think in expected value.

    You read the difference between a 71 percent pick and a 66 percent pick as a real difference, not a rounding error.

  • You bet most days.

    Volume is the lever. Terminal is built for daily allocation across multiple games, multiple markets, and multiple sports.

  • You want a model, not a personality.

    Confidence-scored signals, graded against the close, logged to a public ledger. No Discord hype, no influencer voice.

  • You can sit through losing days.

    Variance is a feature of the game, not a bug in the model. The framework is built for sample windows, not single sessions.

// NOT FOR YOU IF

You bet for the rush.

  • You want a guaranteed pick.

    There is no such thing. WagerBird publishes confidence, not certainty. If you need a lock-of-the-day, this is the wrong product.

  • You bet to feel something.

    Terminal flattens the dopamine loop. Picks unlock at standard cost, scale at standard brackets, and grade against the close. Discipline is the product.

  • You want a chatty community.

    There is no Discord, no group chat, no influencer feed. Terminal is a research surface, not a social network.

  • You're chasing parlays or boost promos.

    Terminal does not publish parlays. The model prices individual signals against the close. Promos and boosts are book marketing, not edge.

// THE MODEL

The full board. Every bet, every sport.

Every signal on the daily board is priced on a 25 to 100 confidence scale. Mainlines, props, totals, F5, full game. Across every active sport. Nothing below 25 publishes; above 96, the pick ships as a GEM.

Confidence range

25 to 100.

Every Terminal signal scores 25 or higher. Below 25, the pick does not publish. The 75 to 95 band is the same window the curated HOTSHEET ships from; on Terminal it is one segment of the full board, not the whole product.

Tier breakdown

  • 25–49Base

    Lower-conviction signals. Lower unlock cost. Useful for board awareness or speculative low-bracket positions.

  • 50–74Mid

    Standard model conviction. The bulk of the daily board. Most subscribers allocate the majority of their Points here.

  • 75–95HOTSHEET window

    The same band the curated HOTSHEET ships from. On Terminal, every signal in this window is unlockable, not just the top three.

  • 96–100GEMs

    Premium signal band. The strongest model conviction on the board. Allocation per Trader plan.

// ANATOMY OF A PICK

What you actually get inside the Terminal.

Every game card surfaces the picks the model is willing to score. Each pick carries a confidence rating from 25 to 100. That rating is the unlock cost in Points. Read the number, pick the bracket, send the wager to your book.

MLBTODAY · 7:05 PM ET

NYY@BOS

Yankees @ Red Sox

FULL GAMEGEM

MONEYLINE

NYY −115

CONFIDENCE96
UNLOCK COST96 POINTS
FULL GAMEELITE

RUN LINE

NYY −1.5

CONFIDENCE81
UNLOCK COST81 POINTS
FULL GAMEMID

TEAM TOTAL

NYY OVER 4.5

CONFIDENCE74
UNLOCK COST74 POINTS
F5 (FIRST FIVE)MID

MONEYLINE

NYY −110

CONFIDENCE61
UNLOCK COST61 POINTS
F5 (FIRST FIVE)MID

TOTAL

OVER 4.5

CONFIDENCE58
UNLOCK COST58 POINTS

This is one example. The model may surface fewer or different picks for any given game depending on confidence and market signal.

// CARD ANATOMY

Score is price. Conviction is sizing.

The Terminal card is the operator surface. Every score is the model's read on the line. A 76 costs 76 Points. A 96 GEM costs 96 Points. The size of the wager scales with the bracket the trader picks at unlock time. No upsell, no decision fatigue.

  • Full game and F5 (first five) on a single card. Segment markets price independently of the mainline.
  • 25 to 100 score from the model. GEMs at 96 and above read in green. Below 25 does not publish.
  • Unlock cost equals confidence rating. The score on the card is the price on the wallet. A 96 GEM costs 96 Points, a 76 standard costs 76, a 61 mid costs 61.
  • Wager size scales with confidence using bracket multipliers, not flat sizing. The trader picks the bracket; the model picks the score.

// POINTS · 101

See it. Size it. Send it.

Points are the wallet inside the Terminal. The model prices every signal in Points. The trader picks the bracket, runs the position, and tracks the outcome. Three beats per pick, same workflow every day.

  1. 01

    SIGNAL

    See it.

    The model surfaces every confidence-scored signal on the daily board. Mainlines, totals, team totals, F5, run lines. Filter by sport, segment, or band. Read the score; that is the model's conviction on the line.

    WALLET · POINTS · ON HAND
  2. 02

    PRICE

    Size it.

    Unlock cost equals confidence rating. A 76-confidence pick costs 76 Points. A 96 GEM costs 96 Points. Pick the bracket multiplier that matches the read. Pricing and sizing live here, not in the next step.

    SCORE · IS · COST
  3. 03

    EXECUTE

    Send it.

    Take the unlocked pick to your sportsbook and place the wager at the bracket you sized. WagerBird does not place bets; the trader executes at the book. Settlement grades each pick the next morning.

    // YOUTERMINAL
    // YOUR BOOK
    • DK
    • FD
    • MGM
    • CAESARS
    • FANATICS
    • MORE

// THE POINTS ECONOMY

Unlock cost equals model conviction.

Every Trader plan loads Points monthly. Spend Points to unlock individual picks. Lose a pick at standard sizing, the Points return automatically. WagerBird does not profit from losses.

Points

The wallet.

76 conviction = 76 Points to unlock.

Each Trader plan refreshes the Points wallet at the start of each billing cycle. Unused Points roll forward inside the cycle. Subscribers spend Points to unlock individual picks at the model's confidence score.

  • Unlock cost = confidence score, in Points.
  • Push or canceled returns Points in full.
  • Standard bracket sizing: $5, $10, $15 per pick.

Points-Back-on-Loss

Lose a pick. Get the Points back.

Every losing pre-game unlock returns the spent Points to your wallet automatically. No claim form. No support ticket. No refund request. The mechanic is built into the Terminal and applies on settlement.

  • Pre-game pick at standard sizing, run through close.
  • Settlement marks the pick a loss. Points return to the wallet that night.
  • Wins keep the Points in market; losses send them home.
WAGERVISION exclusion. Live in-game picks are committed at unlock. There is no post-game reconciliation window for live signals, so the Points-Back path does not apply. All other Terminal picks return Points on loss.

// PRICING · TWO PATHS

On-demand, or always-on.

Two paths into the same Terminal. Pay-As-You-Go buys Points outright with no commitment. A Trader plan subscribes for monthly Points at a lower per-Point cost. Pick one.

// POINTS PACKS

Pay as you go.

Buy Points outright. No commitment, no auto-renewal.

  • // STARTER

    STARTER PACK

    Floor entry. Try the Terminal without a commitment.

    POINTS
    600 Points
    PER POINT
    $0.07
    • 600 Points, never expire
    • Full Terminal access while Points last
    • Spend on any signal on the board
    • Points-Back on every losing unlock
    • No subscription, no auto-renewal
    BUY STARTER PACK

  • // CORE

    CORE PACK

    Mid pack. Common allocation for the active sampler.

    POINTS
    1,700 Points
    PER POINT
    $0.06
    • 1,700 Points, never expire
    • Full Terminal access while Points last
    • Spend on any signal on the board
    • Points-Back on every losing unlock
    • No subscription, no auto-renewal
    BUY CORE PACK

  • // ADVANCED

    ADVANCED PACK

    Top pack. Operator-scale buy-in without subscription.

    POINTS
    3,600 Points
    PER POINT
    $0.06
    • 3,600 Points, never expire
    • Full Terminal access while Points last
    • Spend on any signal on the board
    • Points-Back on every losing unlock
    • No subscription, no auto-renewal
    BUY ADVANCED PACK

Spend Points on any signal on the board. Points-Back on every losing unlock. Points never expire.

// TRADER PLANS

Auto-load monthly.

Subscribe and Points refresh at the start of every cycle.

  • // TRADER I

    TRADER I

    Entry tier. Light allocation. Monthly cadence.

    POINTS
    1,500
    GEMS
    1

    Effective per Point: $0.05

    • 1,500 Points per month
    • 1 GEM per month
    • Full Terminal access
    • Confidence-scored signal feed
    • Points-Back on every losing unlock
    • Cancel any time
    GET TRADER I

  • // TRADER II

    TRADER II

    Mid tier. Built for active daily allocation.

    POINTS
    2,500
    GEMS
    4

    Effective per Point: $0.06

    • 2,500 Points per month
    • 4 GEMs per month
    • Full Terminal access
    • Priority signal alerts
    • Rollover Points inside cycle
    • Points-Back on every losing unlock
    • Cancel any time
    GET TRADER II

  • // TRADER III

    TRADER III

    Pro tier. Maximum GEMs allocation. Portfolio-scale stakes.

    POINTS
    5,000
    GEMS
    12

    Effective per Point: $0.06

    • 5,000 Points per month
    • 12 GEMs per month, the strongest signal band
    • Full Terminal access
    • Priority signal alerts
    • Rollover Points inside cycle
    • Points-Back on every losing unlock
    • Cancel any time
    GET TRADER III

Includes GEMs allocation. Lower per-Point cost than the equivalent Pack. Cancel any time, no retention call.

Cancel any time. Points refresh each billing cycle on Trader plans; Pack Points never expire. GEMs are counted per cycle and do not roll forward. Secure checkout via Stripe. Must be 21+ where sports betting is legal.

// THE FRAMEWORK

Define risk. Measure edge. Execute. Detach.

The Terminal is built on four operating principles. The model generates the read; the trader holds the discipline. Position sizing and detachment do the work the model cannot.

  1. 01

    Define risk in brackets.

    Position size scales with conviction. WagerBird uses bracket multipliers (1.75, 2.0, 2.25, and up) keyed to confidence band. Brackets preserve the difference between a 71 percent pick and a 66 percent pick that flat sizing would round away. The bracket is the discipline.

  2. 02

    Measure edge.

    Every signal carries a confidence score from 25 to 100. The score is the model's read on the line. Unlock cost equals the score in Points. The market sets the price; the model sets the conviction.

  3. 03

    Execute.

    Unlock the pick, place the wager at the confidence-mapped bracket, log the result. Discipline replaces feel. No chasing, no doubling, no off-card improvisation.

  4. 04

    Detach.

    The model does not care about the last pick. Neither does the trader. Outcomes feed back into the engine. Emotion does not.

// THE MARKET READ

How the model reads the market.

Three reads layered into every confidence score. None of these stand alone; together they price what the mainstream line misses.

  1. A

    MARKET STRUCTURE

    Where inefficiencies live.

    Sportsbooks price mainstream lines tight and props loose. Liquidity, line shopping, and book bias create a structural gap on derivative markets. The Terminal surfaces signals where the price lags the model the most, not where the volume is loudest.

  2. B

    BOOKMAKER PSYCHOLOGY

    Trap vs value.

    Books shade lines toward bettor psychology, not expected value. A line that looks easy can be the trap. A line that reads against the public can carry conviction. The Terminal evaluates each line situationally. The model weighs book posture, market depth, and prior cycles before scoring; the customer sees the score, not a formula to extract.

  3. C

    SITUATIONAL CONTEXT

    What the model layers on top.

    Weather on totals. Day-game splits after night travel. Lineup deltas, bullpen state, rest advantage, referee tendency. The variables that move a fair line by a tick before any market data fires. Quantified, weighted, and re-scored each cycle.

// RISK-PRICING PHILOSOPHY

Brackets, not units.

Most picks services flatten everything into units. WagerBird prices conviction as a multiplier and lets the bracket carry the difference between a strong read and a marginal one.

  1. α

    THE UNITS PROBLEM

    Units flatten conviction.

    A flat-unit model treats a 71 percent pick the same as a 66 percent pick at the same unit count. The bettor loses the ability to scale risk to confidence. The book takes the gap.

  2. β

    THE BRACKETS ANSWER

    Brackets scale with confidence.

    WagerBird uses bracket multipliers (1.75, 2.0, 2.25, and up) keyed to the confidence band. A 96 GEM gets a different bracket than a 76 standard. The size matches the read.

  3. γ

    WHY IT COMPOUNDS

    Conviction priced, not averaged.

    Over a long sample window, bracket-based sizing materially outperforms flat sizing. Edge does not arrive in flat doses; it arrives weighted. The framework prices weight directly.

// HOW TERMINAL COMPARES

Different operating model. Different product.

Most of the picks economy is built for entertainment. Terminal is built for allocation. Four short reads on how Terminal differs from the alternatives a serious customer is already evaluating.

  • vs Picks services

    Numerical confidence, not a hot take.

    Picks services sell the personality of one handicapper. Terminal publishes a confidence score generated by a model and graded daily against the close.

    See the comparison →

  • vs AI / algo prediction sites

    A working framework, not a black box.

    Most algo sites show a percentage and a one-click bet. Terminal explains the framework, prices conviction in Points, and refuses to publish below the model floor.

    See the comparison →

  • vs Sportsbook in-app tools

    Book tools work for the book.

    Sportsbook same-game-parlay generators and boost feeds optimize for the house margin. Terminal exists to find the gaps the book did not close.

    See the comparison →

  • vs Discord groups

    A research surface, not a chat room.

    Discord groups operate on social proof. Terminal operates on graded outcomes and a logged ledger at /results. Different product, different operating philosophy.

    See the comparison →

Full comparison lives at /why-wagerbird. Updated as markets shift.

// THE FOUNDATIONS

Built on the work, not the noise.

The Terminal model reads sports markets the way capital markets are read. Public research on book psychology and forecast confidence informs how every signal is scored.

WagerBird methodology

Confidence scoring, not handicapping.

WagerBird is an analytics product. Every Terminal signal is priced in Points by the model and graded against the close of each game. The customer chooses when to act and at what size. WagerBird does not accept wagers and does not place wagers on a customer's behalf.

For the trial product, see /hotsheet. For graded results, see /results.

Academic foundations

Public research, working framework.

  • Sportsbooks shade lines toward bettor psychology, not expected value. Edge sits in the gap.Levitt, 2004 · Why are gambling markets organised so differently from financial markets?
  • Confidence calibration matters more than directional accuracy. The right score on the right pick beats the next pick.Feddersen, 2013 · Confidence as a signal in sports prediction markets.
  • Bracket-based position sizing materially outperforms flat sizing across long sample windows.Goto and Yamada, 2023 · Position sizing in consumer-facing prediction markets.

These citations frame the operating philosophy. They are not the model. The model is proprietary and runs daily against the live board.

24 / 7 customer service desk

A real desk on the other side.

Subscribers reach a human at any hour. Account questions, billing, magic-link recovery, plan changes. WagerBird does not run a chatbot maze; tickets route to a person.

Account access, billing, magic-link recovery, plan changes. Tickets route to a person, not a queue.

// FAQ

Common
Questions.

// COMMIT

Pick a tier. Open the Terminal.

Every Trader plan ships full Terminal access, the full confidence feed, GEMs, and Points-Back-on-Loss. Cancel any time. Trader II is the default for most subscribers.

WagerBird is an analytics and education product. WagerBird does not accept wagers. The Terminal delivers confidence-scored signals only. Bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Must be 21+ where sports betting is legal.

Terminal. Every game. Every market. Confidence-scored. | WagerBird | WAGERBIRD