Amen Thompson (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Amen Thompson's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 18.5 to 14.5 (-4.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Amen Thompson)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU @ MIL | 18.5 (-112) | — | 23 | Over | |
| HOU @ DAL | 18.5 (-113) | 0.0 | 15 | Under | |
| OKC @ HOU | 16.5 (+105) | -2.0 | 8 | Under | |
| BOS @ HOU | 15.5 (+102) | -1.0 | 14 | Under | |
| MIN @ HOU | 15.5 (+102) | 0.0 | 11 | Under | |
| HOU @ PHX | 14.5 (-115) | -1.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Amen Thompson Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (-4.0) tracks actual window production (-4.3).
- Window Open Line
- 18.5
- Current Posted Line
- 14.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -4.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 14.2
- Actual Output Delta
- -4.3
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · @ MIL | 18.5 | — | 23 | +4.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ DAL | 18.5 | 0.0 | 15 | -3.5 |
| Oct 31 · vs OKC | 16.5 | -2.0 | 8 | -8.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs BOS | 15.5 | -1.0 | 14 | -1.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs MIN | 15.5 | 0.0 | 11 | -4.5 |
| Nov 7 · @ PHX | 14.5 | -1.0 | — | — |
Amen Thompson Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Amen Thompson.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Amen Thompson.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |