NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: HOUPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-4.0 over 6 games)

Kevin Durant (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
Kevin Durant Releases: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Kevin Durant's posted points line downward in 4 of 5 game-over-game steps from 25.5 to 21.5 (-4.0).26.525.324.122.921.720.525.523.522.521.522.521.5Oct 28HOU @ MILOct 30HOU @ DALOct 31OKC @ HOUNov 2BOS @ HOUNov 4MIN @ HOUNov 7HOU @ PHX

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Kevin Durant's posted points line downward in 4 of 5 game-over-game steps from 25.5 to 21.5 (-4.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Kevin Durant)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
HOU @ MIL25.5 (-105)—18Under
HOU @ DAL23.5 (-111)-2.028Over
OKC @ HOU22.5 (-120)-1.014Under
BOS @ HOU21.5 (-108)-1.012Under
MIN @ HOU22.5 (-113)+1.021Under
HOU @ PHX21.5 (-117)-1.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production6-Game Window

Kevin Durant Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted -4.0 vs. -6.9 actual output delta (-2.9 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-2.9Max Single-Game Book Step: -2.0
Window Open Line
25.5
Current Posted Line
21.5
Book Cumulative Step
-4.0
Actual Window Avg
18.6
Actual Output Delta
-6.9
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Kevin Durant Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output32818Oct 28@ MIL28Oct 30@ DAL14Oct 31vs OKC12Nov 2vs BOS21Nov 4vs MINNov 7@ PHX
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 28 · @ MIL25.5—18-7.5
Oct 30 · @ DAL23.5-2.028+4.5
Oct 31 · vs OKC22.5-1.014-8.5
Nov 2 · vs BOS21.5-1.012-9.5
Nov 4 · vs MIN22.5+1.021-1.5
Nov 7 · @ PHX21.5-1.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Kevin Durant Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Kevin Durant.

Kevin Durant CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Kevin Durant.

Kevin Durant WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Nov 2BOS @ HOUAssistsOver 3.53.53Lost

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136