NBA · 1st Half TotalMarket MovementKickoff Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ETMarket Move: Over 111.5 → 112.5 (+1.0 pts)

Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies 1st Half Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 11)

Prices as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:28 PM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Wed, Nov 11, 10:28 AM ET · Updated Wed, Nov 11, 6:01 PM ET

Desk Status: No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 23 books: 112.5 (12 consensus books · 23 tracked)
Market Move: 111.5 to 112.5 (1.0 pt toward Over)
Lane closing-line timing: Ahead: 16 · At close: 5 · Behind: 6 (27 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: DEN 60.3% · MEM 39.7%
Consensus Spread: MEM +4.5
Consensus Total: 230.5
Market-Implied Score: DEN 117.5 – MEM 113

Market Brief: DEN @ MEM 1st Half Total

Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies 1st Half Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 112.5 +102 / Under 112.5 -102 across 12 consensus sportsbooks (23 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:28 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 111.5 -115 at Caesars; Under 112.5 -110 at FanDuel.

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET), the line moved from 111.5 to 112.5 toward Over (1.0 pt) across 23 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET).

What is the DEN @ MEM 1st half total consensus line and best price per side?

How has the DEN @ MEM 1st half total moved from open to current?

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET), the line moved from 111.5 to 112.5 toward Over (1.0 pt) across 23 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for DEN @ MEM 1st half total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET).

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: DEN @ MEM

Why is the DEN @ MEM 1st Half Total moving?

Wed, Nov 11, 10:25 AM ETMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 5 tracked sportsbooks.
Wed, Nov 11, 5:35 PM ETMarket line moved 0.5 pts toward Under across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Over

Vig-free consensus 112.5 +102 (49.4% across 12 books)

Best price: 111.5 -115 at Caesars

Under

Vig-free consensus 112.5 -102 (50.6% across 12 books)

Best price: 112.5 -110 at FanDuel

DEN @ MEM 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Over	Under	Updated (ET)	Execution
BetMGM	112.5-105	112.5-115	Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET	BetMGM
Caesars	111.5-115	111.5-105	Wed, Nov 11, 6:00 PM ET	Caesars
DraftKings	112.5-105	112.5-115	Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET	DraftKings
FanDuel	112.5-110	112.5-110	Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET	FanDuel
Fanatics	112.5-115	112.5-115	Wed, Nov 11, 6:14 PM ET	Fanatics
ProphetX	111.5-118	111.5+110	Wed, Nov 11, 6:11 PM ET	ProphetX

Full market: 23 sportsbooks, consensus 112.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: DEN @ MEM 1st Half Total

The Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies first-half total opened at 111.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET) and currently sits at 112.5 across 23 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:28 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 10:25 AM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies first-half total.

At Wed, Nov 11, 5:35 PM ET, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies first-half total.

Across the 23 sportsbooks currently quoting the Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 12-book consensus prices Over at 112.5 +102 (49.4% vig-free probability) and Under at 112.5 -102 (50.6% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 111.5 -115 at Caesars; Under 112.5 -110 at FanDuel.

In the NBA first-half game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 16 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 6 (27 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA First-Half Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 72.7% of moved lines ahead of close (16 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 6 Behind close) · Oct 20–Nov 8

Window	Ahead	At close	Behind	Measured
Season to date	16	5	6	27
Last 30 days	16	5	6	27

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 73% finished ahead of the close.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies (1st Half Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/denver-nuggets-at-memphis-grizzlies-1h-total-2026-11-11-34778" title="Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/denver-nuggets-at-memphis-grizzlies-1h-total-2026-11-11-34778">DEN @ MEM 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftDEN @ MEM · Points

DEN @ MEM · Denver Nuggets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Denver Nuggets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

DEN Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-9.3 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 107.7 vs. 117.0 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
95.0	88.2%	107.7	117.0 (-105)	-9.3

Compare DEN Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 117.5 (O -105)DraftKings 117.5 (O -105)BetMGM 116.5 (O -120)Caesars 117.5 (O -110)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 DEN · Prev 24.5 (+1.0)	25.5	21.7%	21.8%(+0.1% vs Hist)	0.0		Team Tide Shift

Denver Nuggets (DEN)Team Tide Shift

-9.3 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 107.7 vs. 117.0 Posted Team Total)

Memphis Grizzlies (MEM)Usage Transfer

-10.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 102.9 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Usage TransferDEN @ MEM · Points

DEN @ MEM · Memphis Grizzlies WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Memphis Grizzlies's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

MEM Rotation Mode: Usage TransferUsage Transfer: 1 Core Scorer Up vs. 1 DownInternal Rotation Usage Transfer: Scoring Share Redistributing Inside Core-6 Rotation

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-10.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 102.9 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · vs. close: 96 Ahead / 12 At close / 42 BehindThrough Nov 10 ET

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

DEN @ MEM · DEN · AssistsLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Jamal Murray · Assists

Posted Line: Locked (6.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: DraftKings (+132)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Ty Jerome MEM · Prev 21.5 (0.0)	21.5	22.1%	18.9%(-3.2% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#2 MEM · Prev 16.5 (0.0)	16.5	16.7%	14.5%(-2.2% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#3 MEM · Prev 13.5 (-1.0)	12.5	11.9%	11.0%(-0.9% vs Hist)	-4.0	Usage Transfer
#4 MEM · Prev 9.5 (+1.0)	10.5	8.3%	9.3%(+1.0% vs Hist)	-3.0	Usage Transfer
#5 MEM · Prev 10.5 (0.0)	10.5	10.6%	9.3%(-1.3% vs Hist)	-2.0	Steady Share
#6 MEM · Prev 9.5 (0.0)	9.5	9.1%	8.4%(-0.7% vs Hist)	+1.0	Steady Share

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Market Brief: DEN @ MEM 1st Half Total

What is the DEN @ MEM 1st half total consensus line and best price per side?

How has the DEN @ MEM 1st half total moved from open to current?

What is the locked release status for DEN @ MEM 1st half total?

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: DEN @ MEM

Why is the DEN @ MEM 1st Half Total moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

DEN @ MEM 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: DEN @ MEM 1st Half Total

NBA First-Half Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

DEN @ MEM · Denver Nuggets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

DEN @ MEM · Memphis Grizzlies WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Jamal Murray · Assists

DEN @ MEM · Denver Nuggets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

DEN @ MEM · Memphis Grizzlies WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Jamal Murray · Assists