NBA · 1st Quarter SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ETMarket Move: DEN -0.5 → -0.8 (-0.3 pts)

Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies 1st Quarter Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 11)

Prices as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:49 PM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Wed, Nov 11, 4:02 PM ET · Updated Wed, Nov 11, 5:24 PM ET

Desk Status: No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 20 books: DEN -0.5 (10 consensus books · 20 tracked)
Market Move: MEM +0.5 to +0.8 (0.3 pts toward DEN)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: DEN 60.5% · MEM 39.5%
Consensus Spread: MEM +4.5
Consensus Total: 230.5
Market-Implied Score: DEN 117.5 – MEM 113

Market Brief: DEN @ MEM 1st Quarter Spread

Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies 1st Quarter Spread: vig-free consensus stands at DEN -0.5 -107 / MEM +0.5 +107 across 10 consensus sportsbooks (20 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:49 PM ET). Best price per side: DEN -0.5 -120 at BetMGM; MEM +1 -120 at Caesars.

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET), the line moved from DEN -0.5 to DEN -0.8 (0.3 pts) across 20 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET).

What is the DEN @ MEM 1st quarter spread consensus line and best price per side?

How has the DEN @ MEM 1st quarter spread moved from open to current?

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET), the line moved from DEN -0.5 to DEN -0.8 (0.3 pts) across 20 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for DEN @ MEM 1st quarter spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET).

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: DEN @ MEM

Why is the DEN @ MEM 1st Quarter Spread moving?

Wed, Nov 11, 4:01 PM ETMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward DEN across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

DEN

Vig-free consensus -0.5 -107 (51.6% across 10 books)

Best price: -0.5 -120 at BetMGM

MEM

Vig-free consensus +0.5 +107 (48.4% across 10 books)

Best price: +1 -120 at Caesars

DEN @ MEM 1st Quarter Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	DEN	MEM	Updated (ET)	Execution
BetMGM	-0.5-120	+0.5+100	Wed, Nov 11, 5:48 PM ET	BetMGM
Caesars	-1-110	+1-120	Wed, Nov 11, 5:35 PM ET	Caesars
DraftKings	-0.5-120	+0.5+100	Wed, Nov 11, 5:47 PM ET	DraftKings
FanDuel	-0.5-120	+0.5-106	Wed, Nov 11, 5:47 PM ET	FanDuel
Fanatics	-0.5-125	+0.5-105	Wed, Nov 11, 5:37 PM ET	Fanatics

Full market: 20 sportsbooks, consensus DEN -0.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: DEN @ MEM 1st Quarter Spread

The Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies first-quarter spread opened at MEM +0.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET) and currently sits at MEM +0.8 across 20 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.3 pts, with net market movement toward DEN. Scheduled kickoff is Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:49 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 4:01 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward DEN by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies first-quarter spread.

Across the 20 sportsbooks currently quoting the Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies first-quarter spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 10-book consensus prices DEN at -0.5 -107 (51.6% vig-free probability) and MEM at +0.5 +107 (48.4% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: DEN -0.5 -120 at BetMGM; MEM +1 -120 at Caesars.

Every NBA first-quarter spreads release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also reports Closing Line Value (CLV): Ahead of close, At the close, or Behind close against the release sportsbook's closing number. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies (1st Quarter Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/denver-nuggets-at-memphis-grizzlies-1q-spread-2026-11-11-34778" title="Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies 1st Quarter Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/denver-nuggets-at-memphis-grizzlies-1q-spread-2026-11-11-34778">DEN @ MEM 1st Quarter Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftDEN @ MEM · Points

DEN @ MEM · Denver Nuggets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Denver Nuggets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

DEN Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-9.8 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 107.7 vs. 117.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
95.0	88.2%	107.7	117.5 (-104)	-9.8

Compare DEN Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 117.5 (O -104)DraftKings 117.5 (O -105)BetMGM 116.5 (O -120)Caesars 117.5 (O -105)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 DEN · Prev 24.5 (+1.0)	25.5	21.7%	21.7%(0.0% vs Hist)	0.0		Team Tide Shift

Denver Nuggets (DEN)Team Tide Shift

-9.8 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 107.7 vs. 117.5 Posted Team Total)

Memphis Grizzlies (MEM)Usage Transfer

-10.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 102.9 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Usage TransferDEN @ MEM · Points

DEN @ MEM · Memphis Grizzlies WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Memphis Grizzlies's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

MEM Rotation Mode: Usage TransferUsage Transfer: 1 Core Scorer Up vs. 1 DownInternal Rotation Usage Transfer: Scoring Share Redistributing Inside Core-6 Rotation

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-10.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 102.9 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · vs. close: 96 Ahead / 12 At close / 42 BehindThrough Nov 10 ET

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

DEN @ MEM · DEN · AssistsLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Jamal Murray · Assists

Posted Line: Locked (6.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: DraftKings (+132)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Ty Jerome MEM · Prev 21.5 (0.0)	21.5	22.1%	18.9%(-3.2% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#2 MEM · Prev 16.5 (0.0)	16.5	16.7%	14.5%(-2.2% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#3 MEM · Prev 13.5 (-1.0)	12.5	11.9%	11.0%(-0.9% vs Hist)	-4.0	Usage Transfer
#4 MEM · Prev 9.5 (+1.0)	10.5	8.3%	9.3%(+1.0% vs Hist)	-3.0	Usage Transfer
#5 MEM · Prev 10.5 (0.0)	10.5	10.6%	9.3%(-1.3% vs Hist)	-2.0	Steady Share
#6 MEM · Prev 9.5 (0.0)	9.5	9.1%	8.4%(-0.7% vs Hist)	+1.0	Steady Share

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Market Brief: DEN @ MEM 1st Quarter Spread

What is the DEN @ MEM 1st quarter spread consensus line and best price per side?

How has the DEN @ MEM 1st quarter spread moved from open to current?

What is the locked release status for DEN @ MEM 1st quarter spread?

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: DEN @ MEM

Why is the DEN @ MEM 1st Quarter Spread moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

DEN @ MEM 1st Quarter Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: DEN @ MEM 1st Quarter Spread

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

DEN @ MEM · Denver Nuggets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

DEN @ MEM · Memphis Grizzlies WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Jamal Murray · Assists

DEN @ MEM · Denver Nuggets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

DEN @ MEM · Memphis Grizzlies WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Jamal Murray · Assists