NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: DENPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 6 games)

Nikola Jokić (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Nikola Jokić's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 26.5 to 25.5 (-1.0).28.527.526.525.524.523.526.527.525.524.524.525.5Oct 26GSW @ DENOct 28DEN @ NOPOct 30DEN @ PHXNov 2POR @ DENNov 4TOR @ DENNov 7DEN @ IND

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Nikola Jokić's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 26.5 to 25.5 (-1.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Nikola Jokić)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
GSW @ DEN26.5 (+100)—19Under
DEN @ NOP27.5 (+102)+1.021Under
DEN @ PHX25.5 (-102)-2.018Under
POR @ DEN24.5 (-106)-1.026Over
TOR @ DEN24.5 (-113)0.032Over
DEN @ IND25.5 (-110)+1.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production6-Game Window

Nikola Jokić Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted -1.0 vs. -3.3 actual output delta (-2.3 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-2.3Max Single-Game Book Step: -2.0
Window Open Line
26.5
Current Posted Line
25.5
Book Cumulative Step
-1.0
Actual Window Avg
23.2
Actual Output Delta
-3.3
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Nikola Jokić Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output361519Oct 26vs GSW21Oct 28@ NOP18Oct 30@ PHX26Nov 2vs POR32Nov 4vs TORNov 7@ IND
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 26 · vs GSW26.5—19-7.5
Oct 28 · @ NOP27.5+1.021-6.5
Oct 30 · @ PHX25.5-2.018-7.5
Nov 2 · vs POR24.5-1.026+1.5
Nov 4 · vs TOR24.50.032+7.5
Nov 7 · @ IND25.5+1.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Nikola Jokić Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Nikola Jokić.

Nikola Jokić CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Nikola Jokić.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136