NBA Player Props vs. close: Ahead: 96 · At close: 12 · Behind: 42
ENES
Posted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)Locked Release · Opens at the Final

Jamal Murray Assists Prop (Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies, ): Posted Line 6.5 vs WAGERBIRD Fair Line

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Read the Release on WAGERBIRD →WAGERBIRD Fair Line: —
Posted Prop Line
Locked Until Start
ProphetX
WAGERBIRD Fair Line
—
—
Posted Line Drift
6.5 → 6.5 (0.0)
Last 6 Active Games
Matchup (ET)
DEN @ MEM
NBA Props Lane vs. Close
96 / 12 / 42
Ahead / At close / Behind

Sportsbook Posted Assists Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted assists total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 30 to Nov 11), Jamal Murray's posted assists line has held net flat at 6.5.7.56.96.35.75.14.56.55.55.56.55.56.5Oct 30DEN @ PHXNov 2POR @ DENNov 4TOR @ DENNov 7DEN @ INDNov 9DEN @ HOUNov 11DEN @ MEM

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 30 to Nov 11), Jamal Murray's posted assists line has held net flat at 6.5.

6-Game Posted Assists Ledger (Jamal Murray)

America/New_York (ET)
Date (ET)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
DEN @ PHX6.5 (+108)—5Under
POR @ DEN5.5 (-142)-1.06Over
TOR @ DEN5.5 (-142)0.07Over
DEN @ IND6.5 (+115)+1.08Over
DEN @ HOU5.5 (-102)-1.02Under
DEN @ MEM6.5 (+132)+1.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line across 6 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Compare Licensed Partner Books: Execute or compare live quotes and prediction markets (Kalshi code WBIRD1).
Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Jamal Murray Assists Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.9).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.9Max Single-Game Book Step: +1.0
Window Open Line
6.5
Current Posted Line
6.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
5.6
Actual Output Delta
-0.9
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Jamal Murray Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Assists Line vs Actual Box-Score Output1005Oct 30@ PHX6Nov 2vs POR7Nov 4vs TOR8Nov 7@ IND2Nov 9@ HOUNov 11@ MEM
Game (ET)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 30 · @ PHX6.5—5-1.5
Nov 2 · vs POR5.5-1.06+0.5
Nov 4 · vs TOR5.50.07+1.5
Nov 7 · @ IND6.5+1.08+1.5
Nov 9 · @ HOU5.5-1.02-3.5
Nov 11 · @ MEM6.5+1.0——
WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftDEN @ MEM · Points

DEN @ MEM · Denver Nuggets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) ()

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Denver Nuggets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

DEN Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-9.3 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 107.7 vs. 117.0 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total
Denver Nuggets Core-6 Prop Sum 95.0 vs Implied Team Total 107.7 vs Posted Team Total 117.0Core-6 Prop Sum95.0Implied Team Total107.7Posted Team Total117.0
Core-6 SumCore-6 ShareImplied TotalPosted TotalReconciliation Gap
95.088.2%107.7117.0 (-105)-9.3
Core-6 PlayerTonight LineTeam Scoring Share %Tonight's Implied Prop Share %6-Game Line Drift6G TrendOutcome Tag
#1
Nikola Jokić
DEN · Prev 24.5 (+1.0)
25.521.7%21.8%(+0.1% vs Hist)0.0Nikola Jokić 6-game posted line trend from 25.5 to 25.5Team Tide Shift
#2
Jamal Murray
DEN · Prev 21.5 (+2.0)
23.525.4%20.1%(-5.3% vs Hist)+1.0Jamal Murray 6-game posted line trend from 22.5 to 23.5Team Tide Shift
#3
Aaron Gordon
DEN · Prev 12.5 (0.0)
12.510.3%10.7%(+0.4% vs Hist)-2.0Aaron Gordon 6-game posted line trend from 14.5 to 12.5Steady Share
#4
Christian Braun
DEN · Prev 10.5 (+1.0)
11.512.5%9.8%(-2.7% vs Hist)0.0Christian Braun 6-game posted line trend from 11.5 to 11.5Team Tide Shift
#5
Cameron Johnson
DEN · Prev 10.5 (+1.0)
11.59.5%9.8%(+0.3% vs Hist)+1.0Cameron Johnson 6-game posted line trend from 10.5 to 11.5Team Tide Shift
#6
DeMar DeRozan
DEN · Prev 10.5 (0.0)
10.58.8%9.0%(+0.2% vs Hist)-4.0DeMar DeRozan 6-game posted line trend from 14.5 to 10.5Steady Share
Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.
Verified Player Write-Up Receipts1 Tracked Write-Up

Jamal Murray Prop Write-Up Receipts: Results & Closing-Line Timing

1 active Jamal Murray prop write-up tracked awaiting closing line settlement.

Jamal Murray vs. close
0 Ahead · 0 At close · 0 Behind
0 Settled Receipts
Date (ET)MatchupMarketResultRelease QuoteClosing LineActualvs. CloseWrite-Up
Nov 11DEN @ MEMAssists—Locked · 6.5 (-139) · DraftKings6.5——Read Write-Up →

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Every release is settled on the final stat line. Closing-line timing compares each timestamped release line and price with the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number; it measures entry timing, not the result (through Nov 10 ET).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowAhead of closeAt the closeBehind close
Season to date (from Sep 23 ET)961242
Last 30 days (from Oct 12 ET)961242