Jaylen Wells (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Jaylen Wells's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 11.5 to 10.5 (-1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Jaylen Wells)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM @ UTA | 11.5 (-104) | — | 14 | Over | |
| MEM @ POR | 11.5 (+100) | 0.0 | 10 | Under | |
| SAC @ MEM | 13.5 (-121) | +2.0 | 4 | Under | |
| NOP @ MEM | 10.5 (-128) | -3.0 | 16 | Over | |
| IND @ MEM | 11.5 (+102) | +1.0 | 0 | Under | |
| OKC @ MEM | 10.5 (-104) | -1.0 | 7 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Jaylen Wells Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted -1.0 vs. -3.0 actual output delta (-2.0 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 11.5
- Current Posted Line
- 10.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 8.5
- Actual Output Delta
- -3.0
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 · @ UTA | 11.5 | — | 14 | +2.5 |
| Oct 29 · @ POR | 11.5 | 0.0 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Oct 31 · vs SAC | 13.5 | +2.0 | 4 | -9.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs NOP | 10.5 | -3.0 | 16 | +5.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs IND | 11.5 | +1.0 | 0 | -11.5 |
| Nov 6 · vs OKC | 10.5 | -1.0 | 7 | -3.5 |
Jaylen Wells Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Jaylen Wells.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Jaylen Wells.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |