NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: DENPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 5 games)

Cameron Johnson (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 5 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 5 active games (Oct 22 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Cameron Johnson's posted points line downward in 2 of 4 game-over-game steps from 12.5 to 11.5 (-1.0).13.512.711.911.110.39.512.510.512.511.511.5Oct 22DEN @ OKCOct 30DEN @ PHXNov 2POR @ DENNov 4TOR @ DENNov 7DEN @ IND

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 5 active games (Oct 22 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Cameron Johnson's posted points line downward in 2 of 4 game-over-game steps from 12.5 to 11.5 (-1.0).

5-Game Posted Points Ledger (Cameron Johnson)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
DEN @ OKC12.5 (-106)—5Under
DEN @ PHX10.5 (-113)-2.012Over
POR @ DEN12.5 (-113)+2.07Under
TOR @ DEN11.5 (-109)-1.012Over
DEN @ IND11.5 (-128)0.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production5-Game Window

Cameron Johnson Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted -1.0 vs. -3.5 actual output delta (-2.5 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-2.5Max Single-Game Book Step: +2.0
Window Open Line
12.5
Current Posted Line
11.5
Book Cumulative Step
-1.0
Actual Window Avg
9.0
Actual Output Delta
-3.5
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Cameron Johnson Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 5-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output1535Oct 22@ OKC12Oct 30@ PHX7Nov 2vs POR12Nov 4vs TORNov 7@ IND
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 22 · @ OKC12.5—5-7.5
Oct 30 · @ PHX10.5-2.012+1.5
Nov 2 · vs POR12.5+2.07-5.5
Nov 4 · vs TOR11.5-1.012+0.5
Nov 7 · @ IND11.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Cameron Johnson Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Cameron Johnson.

Cameron Johnson CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Cameron Johnson.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136