NBA · Home Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ETMarket Move: Over 112.5 → 113.5 (+1.0 pts)

Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 11)

Prices as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:29 PM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Wed, Nov 11, 12:34 AM ET · Updated Wed, Nov 11, 4:32 PM ET

Desk Status: No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 16 books: 113.5 (14 consensus books · 16 tracked)
Market Move: 112.5 to 113.5 (1.0 pt toward Over)
Lane closing-line timing: Ahead: 12 · At close: 1 · Behind: 3 (16 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: DEN 60.3% · MEM 39.7%
Consensus Spread: MEM +4.5
Consensus Total: 230.5
Market-Implied Score: DEN 117.5 – MEM 113

Market Brief: DEN @ MEM Home Team Total

Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 113.5 -101 / Under 113.5 +101 across 14 consensus sportsbooks (16 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:29 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 107.5 -300 at Fanatics; Under 113.5 -105 at FanDuel.

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET), the line moved from 112.5 to 113.5 toward Over (1.0 pt) across 16 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET).

What is the DEN @ MEM home team total consensus line and best price per side?

How has the DEN @ MEM home team total moved from open to current?

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET), the line moved from 112.5 to 113.5 toward Over (1.0 pt) across 16 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for DEN @ MEM home team total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET).

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: DEN @ MEM

Why is the DEN @ MEM Home Team Total moving?

Wed, Nov 11, 12:31 AM ETMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 2 tracked sportsbooks.
Wed, Nov 11, 7:24 AM ETMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Over

Vig-free consensus 113.5 -101 (50.2% across 14 books)

Best price: 107.5 -300 at Fanatics

Under

Vig-free consensus 113.5 +101 (49.8% across 14 books)

Best price: 113.5 -105 at FanDuel

DEN @ MEM Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Over	Under	Updated (ET)	Execution
BetMGM	113.5-115	113.5-110	Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET	BetMGM
Caesars	113.5-115	113.5-115	Wed, Nov 11, 6:26 PM ET	Caesars
DraftKings	113.5-108	113.5-112	Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET	DraftKings
FanDuel	113.5-115	113.5-105	Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET	FanDuel
Fanatics	107.5-300	107.5+210	Wed, Nov 11, 6:26 PM ET	Fanatics

Full market: 16 sportsbooks, consensus 113.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: DEN @ MEM Home Team Total

The Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Memphis Grizzlies team total opened at 112.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET) and currently sits at 113.5 across 16 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:29 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 12:31 AM ET, 2 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Memphis Grizzlies team total.

At Wed, Nov 11, 7:24 AM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Memphis Grizzlies team total.

Across the 16 sportsbooks currently quoting the Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Memphis Grizzlies team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 6.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 14-book consensus prices Over at 113.5 -101 (50.2% vig-free probability) and Under at 113.5 +101 (49.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 107.5 -300 at Fanatics; Under 113.5 -105 at FanDuel.

In the NBA team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 12 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 3 (16 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 80.0% of moved lines ahead of close (12 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Oct 21–Nov 8

Window	Ahead	At close	Behind	Measured
Season to date	12	1	3	16
Last 30 days	12	1	3	16

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 80% finished ahead of the close.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/denver-nuggets-at-memphis-grizzlies-home-team-total-2026-11-11-34778" title="Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/denver-nuggets-at-memphis-grizzlies-home-team-total-2026-11-11-34778">DEN @ MEM Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftDEN @ MEM · Points

DEN @ MEM · Denver Nuggets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Denver Nuggets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

DEN Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-9.3 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 107.7 vs. 117.0 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
95.0	88.2%	107.7	117.0 (-105)	-9.3

Compare DEN Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 117.5 (O -105)DraftKings 117.5 (O -105)BetMGM 116.5 (O -120)Caesars 117.5 (O -110)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 DEN · Prev 24.5 (+1.0)	25.5	21.7%	21.8%(+0.1% vs Hist)	0.0		Team Tide Shift

Denver Nuggets (DEN)Team Tide Shift

-9.3 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 107.7 vs. 117.0 Posted Team Total)

Memphis Grizzlies (MEM)Usage Transfer

-10.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 102.9 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Usage TransferDEN @ MEM · Points

DEN @ MEM · Memphis Grizzlies WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Memphis Grizzlies's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

MEM Rotation Mode: Usage TransferUsage Transfer: 1 Core Scorer Up vs. 1 DownInternal Rotation Usage Transfer: Scoring Share Redistributing Inside Core-6 Rotation

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-10.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 102.9 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · vs. close: 96 Ahead / 12 At close / 42 BehindThrough Nov 10 ET

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

DEN @ MEM · DEN · AssistsLocked Release · Opens at the Final

Jamal Murray · Assists

Posted Line: Locked (6.5)
Fair Line: —
Book: DraftKings (+132)

Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Ty Jerome MEM · Prev 21.5 (0.0)	21.5	22.1%	18.9%(-3.2% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#2 MEM · Prev 16.5 (0.0)	16.5	16.7%	14.5%(-2.2% vs Hist)	-1.0	Steady Share
#3 MEM · Prev 13.5 (-1.0)	12.5	11.9%	11.0%(-0.9% vs Hist)	-4.0	Usage Transfer
#4 MEM · Prev 9.5 (+1.0)	10.5	8.3%	9.3%(+1.0% vs Hist)	-3.0	Usage Transfer
#5 MEM · Prev 10.5 (0.0)	10.5	10.6%	9.3%(-1.3% vs Hist)	-2.0	Steady Share
#6 MEM · Prev 9.5 (0.0)	9.5	9.1%	8.4%(-0.7% vs Hist)	+1.0	Steady Share

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Market Brief: DEN @ MEM Home Team Total

What is the DEN @ MEM home team total consensus line and best price per side?

How has the DEN @ MEM home team total moved from open to current?

What is the locked release status for DEN @ MEM home team total?

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: DEN @ MEM

Why is the DEN @ MEM Home Team Total moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

DEN @ MEM Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: DEN @ MEM Home Team Total

NBA Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

DEN @ MEM · Denver Nuggets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

DEN @ MEM · Memphis Grizzlies WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Jamal Murray · Assists

DEN @ MEM · Denver Nuggets WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

DEN @ MEM · Memphis Grizzlies WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Jamal Murray · Assists