Aaron Gordon (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Aaron Gordon's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 15.5 to 13.5 (-2.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Aaron Gordon)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSW @ DEN | 15.5 (-110) | — | 7 | Under | |
| DEN @ NOP | 15.5 (+100) | 0.0 | 15 | Under | |
| DEN @ PHX | 14.5 (-105) | -1.0 | 15 | Over | |
| POR @ DEN | 13.5 (-120) | -1.0 | 5 | Under | |
| TOR @ DEN | 13.5 (-110) | 0.0 | 17 | Over | |
| DEN @ IND | 13.5 (+101) | 0.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Aaron Gordon Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted -2.0 vs. -3.7 actual output delta (-1.7 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 15.5
- Current Posted Line
- 13.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 11.8
- Actual Output Delta
- -3.7
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 · vs GSW | 15.5 | — | 7 | -8.5 |
| Oct 28 · @ NOP | 15.5 | 0.0 | 15 | -0.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ PHX | 14.5 | -1.0 | 15 | +0.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs POR | 13.5 | -1.0 | 5 | -8.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs TOR | 13.5 | 0.0 | 17 | +3.5 |
| Nov 7 · @ IND | 13.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
Aaron Gordon Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Aaron Gordon.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Aaron Gordon.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |