Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|
Full market: 0 sportsbooks, consensus -. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
The 1st Half Home Team Total opened 57.5 and closed 57.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).
WagerBird released no 1st Half Home Team Total pick on this game (- No Pick).
CLV is graded against the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released.
| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 13 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 68.4% |
| Last 30 days | 13 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 68.4% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Los Angeles Lakers at Detroit Pistons (1st Half Home Team Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/los-angeles-lakers-at-detroit-pistons-1h-home-team-total-2026-11-08-34336" title="Los Angeles Lakers at Detroit Pistons 1st Half Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/los-angeles-lakers-at-detroit-pistons-1h-home-team-total-2026-11-08-34336">LAL @ DET 1st Half Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Los Angeles Lakers's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
+27.0 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 131.5 vs. 104.5 Posted Team Total)
| Core-6 Sum | Core-6 Share | Implied Total | Posted Total | Reconciliation Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106.0 | 80.6% | 131.5 | 104.5 (-102) | +27.0 |
| Core-6 Player | Tonight Line | Team Scoring Share % | Tonight's Implied Prop Share % | 6-Game Line Drift | 6G Trend | Outcome Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 Luka Dončić LAL · Prev 35.5 (-2.0) | 33.5 | 33.6% | 32.1%(-1.5% vs Hist) | -1.0 | Usage Transfer | |
#2 Austin Reaves LAL · Prev 21.5 (+4.0) |
+27.0 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 131.5 vs. 104.5 Posted Team Total)
-19.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 93.4 vs. 112.5 Posted Team Total)
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Detroit Pistons's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
-19.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 93.4 vs. 112.5 Posted Team Total)
| 25.5 |
| 16.8% |
| 24.4%(+7.6% vs Hist) |
| +3.0 |
| Team Tide Shift |
#3 Walker Kessler LAL · Prev 12.5 (+1.0) | 13.5 | 10.8% | 12.9%(+2.1% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Team Tide Shift |
#4 Quentin Grimes LAL · Prev 6.5 (+5.0) | 11.5 | 6.3% | 11.0%(+4.7% vs Hist) | -1.0 | Team Tide Shift |
#5 Collin Sexton LAL · Prev 8.5 (+3.0) | 11.5 | 6.6% | 11.0%(+4.4% vs Hist) | +1.0 | Team Tide Shift |
#6 Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL · Prev 8.5 (+2.0) | 10.5 | 6.5% | 10.0%(+3.5% vs Hist) | +1.0 | Team Tide Shift |
| Core-6 Sum | Core-6 Share | Implied Total | Posted Total | Reconciliation Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86.0 | 92.1% | 93.4 | 112.5 (-102) | -19.1 |
| Core-6 Player | Tonight Line | Team Scoring Share % | Tonight's Implied Prop Share % | 6-Game Line Drift | 6G Trend | Outcome Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 Cade Cunningham DET · Prev 24.5 (+1.0) | 25.5 | 28.1% | 22.7%(-5.4% vs Hist) | +2.0 | Team Tide Shift | |
#2 Duncan Robinson DET · Prev 14.5 (+1.0) | 15.5 | 20.8% | 13.8%(-7.0% vs Hist) | +4.0 | Team Tide Shift | |
#3 Paul Reed DET · Prev 12.5 (+1.0) | 13.5 | 14.0% | 12.0%(-2.0% vs Hist) | +1.0 | Team Tide Shift | |
#4 John Collins DET · Prev 11.5 (0.0) | 11.5 | 8.4% | 10.2%(+1.8% vs Hist) | -4.0 | Steady Share | |
#5 Ausar Thompson DET · Prev 10.5 (0.0) | 10.5 | 10.6% | 9.3%(-1.3% vs Hist) | +1.0 | Steady Share | |
#6 Daniss Jenkins DET · Prev 9.5 (0.0) | 9.5 | 10.2% | 8.4%(-1.8% vs Hist) | +1.0 | Steady Share |
Robinson's expanded shooting and foul-line volume can sustain his scoring even with shooting regression.
Cunningham can run Detroit's offense effectively without reaching double-digit assists.
Thompson's rebounding activity and the missing starting center support enough opportunities to collect seven boards.