Paul Reed (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 4), sportsbooks adjusted Paul Reed's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 15.5 to 12.5 (-3.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Paul Reed)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET @ PHI | 15.5 (-105) | — | 8 | Under | |
| DET @ NYK | 12.5 (+108) | -3.0 | 22 | Over | |
| CHA @ DET | 12.5 (-122) | 0.0 | 16 | Over | |
| DET @ BKN | 15.5 (-107) | +3.0 | 12 | Under | |
| DET @ CHA | 13.5 (-115) | -2.0 | 11 | Under | |
| PHI @ DET | 12.5 (-111) | -1.0 | 8 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Paul Reed Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (-3.0) tracks actual window production (-2.7).
- Window Open Line
- 15.5
- Current Posted Line
- 12.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -3.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 12.8
- Actual Output Delta
- -2.7
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 · @ PHI | 15.5 | — | 8 | -7.5 |
| Oct 27 · @ NYK | 12.5 | -3.0 | 22 | +9.5 |
| Oct 28 · vs CHA | 12.5 | 0.0 | 16 | +3.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ BKN | 15.5 | +3.0 | 12 | -3.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ CHA | 13.5 | -2.0 | 11 | -2.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs PHI | 12.5 | -1.0 | 8 | -4.5 |
Paul Reed Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Paul Reed.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Paul Reed.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |