NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: LALPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Up (+3.0 over 6 games)

Luka Dončić (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Luka Dončić Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Fri, Oct 23, 9:00 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 10:55 AM CT

NBA Player Props CLV Counts

73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Luka Dončić Releases: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Luka Dončić's posted points line upward in 4 of 5 game-over-game steps from 32.5 to 35.5 (+3.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Luka Dončić)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 27	POR @ LAL	32.5 (-108)	—	41	Over
Oct 30	LAL @ GSW	34.5 (-110)	+2.0	37	Over
Nov 1	TOR @ LAL	32.5 (-121)	-2.0	45	Over
Nov 2	MIA @ LAL	33.5 (-104)	+1.0	42	Over
Nov 4	LAL @ SAC	34.5 (+102)	+1.0	40	Over
Nov 6	POR @ LAL	35.5 (-105)	+1.0	53	Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Luka Dončić Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +10.5 vs. +3.0 book step adjustment (+7.5 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+7.5Max Single-Game Book Step: -2.0

Window Open Line: 32.5
Current Posted Line: 35.5
Book Cumulative Step: +3.0
Actual Window Avg: 43.0
Actual Output Delta: +10.5
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 27 · vs POR	32.5	—	41	+8.5
Oct 30 · @ GSW	34.5	+2.0	37	+2.5
Nov 1 · vs TOR	32.5	-2.0	45	+12.5
Nov 2 · vs MIA	33.5	+1.0	42	+8.5
Nov 4 · @ SAC	34.5	+1.0	40	+5.5
Nov 6 · vs POR	35.5	+1.0	53	+17.5

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Luka Dončić Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Luka Dončić.

Luka Dončić CLV Counts

0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Luka Dončić.

Luka Dončić WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release	Close	Actual	CLV Grade
Oct 23	LAC @ LAL	Assists	Over 7.5	7.5	7	Beat

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	73	11	36
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	73	11	36