NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: LALPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-2.0 over 6 games)

Quentin Grimes (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
Quentin Grimes Releases: 1 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Quentin Grimes's posted points line downward in 4 of 5 game-over-game steps from 8.5 to 6.5 (-2.0).14.512.510.58.56.54.58.512.59.58.57.56.5Oct 27POR @ LALOct 28LAL @ LACOct 30LAL @ GSWNov 2MIA @ LALNov 4LAL @ SACNov 6POR @ LAL

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Quentin Grimes's posted points line downward in 4 of 5 game-over-game steps from 8.5 to 6.5 (-2.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Quentin Grimes)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
POR @ LAL8.5 (-105)—2Under
LAL @ LAC12.5 (-125)+4.023Over
LAL @ GSW9.5 (+105)-3.03Under
MIA @ LAL(Missed 1g)8.5 (+102)-1.07Under
LAL @ SAC7.5 (-112)-1.06Under
POR @ LAL6.5 (-120)-1.02Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Quentin Grimes Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (-2.0) tracks actual window production (-1.3).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.7Max Single-Game Book Step: +4.0
Window Open Line
8.5
Current Posted Line
6.5
Book Cumulative Step
-2.0
Actual Window Avg
7.2
Actual Output Delta
-1.3
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Quentin Grimes Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output2902Oct 27vs POR23Oct 28@ LAC3Oct 30@ GSW7Nov 2vs MIA6Nov 4@ SAC2Nov 6vs POR
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 27 · vs POR8.5—2-6.5
Oct 28 · @ LAC12.5+4.023+10.5
Oct 30 · @ GSW9.5-3.03-6.5
Nov 2 · vs MIA8.5-1.07-1.5
Nov 4 · @ SAC7.5-1.06-1.5
Nov 6 · vs POR6.5-1.02-4.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Quentin Grimes Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Quentin Grimes prop write-up.

Quentin Grimes CLV Counts
1 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
1 Settled CLV Receipt
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 23LAC @ LALPointsOver 9.5 (-103) · DraftKings9.513BeatRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Quentin Grimes Prop Write-Ups

Oct 23 CT · LAC @ LAL · PointsFull Write-Up →

Grimes' established scoring rate and opening-night finishing support double figures without requiring exceptional shooting.

Counter-Case: Sexton's return can take away some of Grimes' secondary possessions. Strong perimeter pressure or a shorter wing stint can prevent him from finding enough clean attempts.

Quentin Grimes WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Oct 25LAL @ UTAAssistsOver 2.52.51Tied
Oct 23LAC @ LALPointsOver 9.59.513Beat

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136