NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: LALPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 6 games)

Walker Kessler (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
Walker Kessler Releases: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Walker Kessler's posted points line downward in 1 of 5 game-over-game steps from 13.5 to 12.5 (-1.0).14.513.913.312.712.111.513.513.512.512.512.512.5Oct 28LAL @ LACOct 30LAL @ GSWNov 1TOR @ LALNov 2MIA @ LALNov 4LAL @ SACNov 6POR @ LAL

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Walker Kessler's posted points line downward in 1 of 5 game-over-game steps from 13.5 to 12.5 (-1.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Walker Kessler)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
LAL @ LAC13.5 (-130)—11Under
LAL @ GSW13.5 (-130)0.010Under
TOR @ LAL12.5 (+100)-1.016Over
MIA @ LAL12.5 (+102)0.015Over
LAL @ SAC12.5 (-120)0.015Over
POR @ LAL12.5 (-115)0.016Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Walker Kessler Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +0.3 vs. -1.0 book step adjustment (+1.3 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+1.3Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0
Window Open Line
13.5
Current Posted Line
12.5
Book Cumulative Step
-1.0
Actual Window Avg
13.8
Actual Output Delta
+0.3
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Walker Kessler Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output18811Oct 28@ LAC10Oct 30@ GSW16Nov 1vs TOR15Nov 2vs MIA15Nov 4@ SAC16Nov 6vs POR
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 28 · @ LAC13.5—11-2.5
Oct 30 · @ GSW13.50.010-3.5
Nov 1 · vs TOR12.5-1.016+3.5
Nov 2 · vs MIA12.50.015+2.5
Nov 4 · @ SAC12.50.015+2.5
Nov 6 · vs POR12.50.016+3.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Walker Kessler Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Walker Kessler prop write-up.

Walker Kessler CLV Counts
1 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
1 Settled CLV Receipt
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 25LAL @ UTAPointsOver 15.5 (-109) · DraftKings15.52BeatRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Walker Kessler Prop Write-Ups

Oct 25 CT · LAL @ UTA · PointsFull Write-Up →

Kessler's expanded scoring involvement gives him enough opportunities to clear the threshold without repeating his hottest shooting.

Counter-Case: Utah's frontcourt can crowd interior passing lanes and force more difficult finishes. Fouls could shorten Kessler's run, while trouble securing the ball with his splinted finger could spoil otherwise useful touches.

Walker Kessler WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Nov 1TOR @ LALReboundsUnder 10.59.515—
Oct 25LAL @ UTAPointsOver 15.515.52Beat
Oct 23LAC @ LALReboundsOver 10.510.58Lost

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136