Duncan Robinson (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 4), sportsbooks adjusted Duncan Robinson's posted points line upward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 12.5 to 14.5 (+2.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Duncan Robinson)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET @ PHI | 12.5 (-105) | — | 21 | Over | |
| DET @ NYK | 11.5 (-125) | -1.0 | 12 | Over | |
| CHA @ DET | 12.5 (-125) | +1.0 | 13 | Over | |
| DET @ BKN | 13.5 (-104) | +1.0 | 17 | Over | |
| DET @ CHA | 13.5 (-110) | 0.0 | 24 | Over | |
| PHI @ DET | 14.5 (+108) | +1.0 | 27 | Over |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Duncan Robinson Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Actual output +6.5 vs. +2.0 book step adjustment (+4.5 Unpriced Book Lag).
- Window Open Line
- 12.5
- Current Posted Line
- 14.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 19.0
- Actual Output Delta
- +6.5
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 · @ PHI | 12.5 | — | 21 | +8.5 |
| Oct 27 · @ NYK | 11.5 | -1.0 | 12 | +0.5 |
| Oct 28 · vs CHA | 12.5 | +1.0 | 13 | +0.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ BKN | 13.5 | +1.0 | 17 | +3.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ CHA | 13.5 | 0.0 | 24 | +10.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs PHI | 14.5 | +1.0 | 27 | +12.5 |
Duncan Robinson Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Duncan Robinson.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Duncan Robinson.
Duncan Robinson WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | DET @ BKN | 3-Pointers Made | Over 2.5 | 2.5 | 2 | Beat |
| Oct 25 | DET @ PHI | 3-Pointers Made | Over 2.5 | 2.5 | 5 | Beat |
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |