NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: LALPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-7.0 over 6 games)

Austin Reaves (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
Austin Reaves Releases: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Austin Reaves's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 28.5 to 21.5 (-7.0).30.528.326.123.921.719.528.522.522.523.522.521.5Oct 28LAL @ LACOct 30LAL @ GSWNov 1TOR @ LALNov 2MIA @ LALNov 4LAL @ SACNov 6POR @ LAL

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Austin Reaves's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 28.5 to 21.5 (-7.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Austin Reaves)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
LAL @ LAC28.5 (-110)—16Under
LAL @ GSW22.5 (-125)-6.021Under
TOR @ LAL22.5 (-115)0.019Under
MIA @ LAL23.5 (+100)+1.027Over
LAL @ SAC22.5 (-115)-1.021Under
POR @ LAL21.5 (-125)-1.025Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Austin Reaves Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (-7.0) tracks actual window production (-7.0).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag0.0Max Single-Game Book Step: -6.0
Window Open Line
28.5
Current Posted Line
21.5
Book Cumulative Step
-7.0
Actual Window Avg
21.5
Actual Output Delta
-7.0
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Austin Reaves Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output321316Oct 28@ LAC21Oct 30@ GSW19Nov 1vs TOR27Nov 2vs MIA21Nov 4@ SAC25Nov 6vs POR
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 28 · @ LAC28.5—16-12.5
Oct 30 · @ GSW22.5-6.021-1.5
Nov 1 · vs TOR22.50.019-3.5
Nov 2 · vs MIA23.5+1.027+3.5
Nov 4 · @ SAC22.5-1.021-1.5
Nov 6 · vs POR21.5-1.025+3.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Austin Reaves Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Austin Reaves.

Austin Reaves CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Austin Reaves.

Austin Reaves WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Oct 25LAL @ UTAAssistsOver 5.55.54Beat

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136