Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 45 books
- 37.5 (26 consensus books · 45 tracked)
- Market Move
- 42.5 to 37.5 (5.0 pts toward Under)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 15 · At close: 1 · Behind: 6 (22 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- MIA 35.6% · IND 64.4%
- Consensus Spread
- IND -4
- Consensus Total
- 37.5
- Market-Implied Score
- MIA 16.8 – IND 20.8
Market Brief: MIA @ IND Total
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 37.5 -102 / Under 37.5 +102 across 26 consensus sportsbooks (45 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 37.5 -104 at ProphetX; Under 38.5 -115 at DraftKings.
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from 42.5 to 37.5 toward Under (5.0 pts) across 47 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
What is the MIA @ IND total consensus line and best price per side?
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 37.5 -102 / Under 37.5 +102 across 26 consensus sportsbooks (45 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 37.5 -104 at ProphetX; Under 38.5 -115 at DraftKings.
How has the MIA @ IND total moved from open to current?
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from 42.5 to 37.5 toward Under (5.0 pts) across 47 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for MIA @ IND total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
Why is the MIA @ IND total moving?
- Market line moved 0.5 pts toward Under across 20 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MIA @ IND Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 45 sportsbooks, consensus 37.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: MIA @ IND Total
The Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts total opened at 42.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 37.5 across 47 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 5.0 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET.
At Thu, Nov 12, 2:29 PM ET, 20 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts total.
Across the 45 sportsbooks currently quoting the Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 26-book consensus prices Over at 37.5 -102 (50.4% vig-free probability) and Under at 37.5 +102 (49.6% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 37.5 -104 at ProphetX; Under 38.5 -115 at DraftKings.
In the NFL game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 15 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 6 (22 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 71.4% of moved lines ahead of close (15 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 6 Behind close) · Sept 24–Nov 9
Release Record — NFL game totals, since Sept 24 (Sept 24–Nov 9): 15-7, +21.7u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 71% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-total-2026-11-15-35144" title="Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-total-2026-11-15-35144">MIA @ IND Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>