Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts 1st Half Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 21 books
- MIA +2.5 (9 consensus books · 21 tracked)
- Market Move
- IND -0.5 to -2.5 (2.0 pts toward IND)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 4 · At close: 0 · Behind: 3 (7 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- MIA 35.6% · IND 64.4%
- Consensus Spread
- IND -4
- Consensus Total
- 37.5
- Market-Implied Score
- MIA 16.8 – IND 20.8
Market Brief: MIA @ IND 1st Half Spread
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at MIA +2.5 +110 / IND -2.5 -110 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (21 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:59 PM ET). Best price per side: MIA +3.5 -125 at FanDuel; IND -1.5 -125 at Fanatics.
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from IND -0.5 to IND -2.5 (2.0 pts) across 23 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
What is the MIA @ IND 1st half spread consensus line and best price per side?
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at MIA +2.5 +110 / IND -2.5 -110 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (21 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:59 PM ET). Best price per side: MIA +3.5 -125 at FanDuel; IND -1.5 -125 at Fanatics.
How has the MIA @ IND 1st half spread moved from open to current?
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from IND -0.5 to IND -2.5 (2.0 pts) across 23 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for MIA @ IND 1st half spread?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
Why is the MIA @ IND 1st Half Spread moving?
- Market line moved 0.5 pts toward IND across 6 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MIA @ IND 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 21 sportsbooks, consensus MIA +2.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: MIA @ IND 1st Half Spread
The Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts first-half spread opened at IND -0.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET) and currently sits at IND -2.5 across 23 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.0 pts, with net market movement toward IND. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:59 PM ET.
At Thu, Nov 12, 6:14 PM ET, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward IND by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts first-half spread.
Across the 21 sportsbooks currently quoting the Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 9-book consensus prices MIA at +2.5 +110 (47.7% vig-free probability) and IND at -2.5 -110 (52.3% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MIA +3.5 -125 at FanDuel; IND -1.5 -125 at Fanatics.
In the NFL first-half spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 4 · At the close: 0 · Behind close: 3 (7 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL First-Half Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 57.1% of moved lines ahead of close (4 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Sept 27–Nov 8
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 57% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (1st Half Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-1h-spread-2026-11-15-35144" title="Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-1h-spread-2026-11-15-35144">MIA @ IND 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>