ENES
NFL · 1st Half TotalLocked ReleaseKickoff Market Move: Over 25.5 → 25.8 (+0.3 pts)

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 1st Half Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Release Status
Locked Release · Logged Tue, Nov 10, 11:16 AM ET · Opens at the final
Current Consensus across 22 books
25.5 (10 consensus books · 22 tracked)
Market Move
25.5 to 25.8 (0.3 pts toward Over)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 17 · At close: 0 · Behind: 7 (24 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
BUF 78.2% · NYJ 21.8%
Consensus Spread
NYJ +7.5
Consensus Total
50.5
Market-Implied Score
BUF 29 – NYJ 21.5

Market Brief: BUF @ NYJ 1st Half Total

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 1st Half Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 25.5 -104 / Under 25.5 +104 across 10 consensus sportsbooks (22 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:01 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 25.5 -115 at FanDuel; Under 26.5 -112 at BetMGM.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 10:45 AM ET), the line moved from 25.5 to 25.8 toward Over (0.3 pts) across 22 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

What is the BUF @ NYJ 1st half total consensus line and best price per side?

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 1st Half Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 25.5 -104 / Under 25.5 +104 across 10 consensus sportsbooks (22 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:01 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 25.5 -115 at FanDuel; Under 26.5 -112 at BetMGM.

How has the BUF @ NYJ 1st half total moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 10:45 AM ET), the line moved from 25.5 to 25.8 toward Over (0.3 pts) across 22 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for BUF @ NYJ 1st half total?

WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

Locked Release

Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final

Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.

Read on WAGERBIRD →

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 25.5 -104 (51% across 10 books)
Best price: 25.5 -115 at FanDuel
Under
Vig-free consensus 25.5 +104 (49% across 10 books)
Best price: 26.5 -112 at BetMGM

BUF @ NYJ 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM26.5-10526.5-112BetMGM
Caesars25.5-11725.5-104Caesars
DraftKings25.5-11825.5-102DraftKings
FanDuel25.5-11525.5-105FanDuel
Fanatics26.5-11026.5-120Fanatics
ProphetX25.5-12025.5-107ProphetX

Full market: 22 sportsbooks, consensus 25.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Summary: BUF @ NYJ 1st Half Total

Across 22 tracked sportsbooks, the BUF @ NYJ 1st Half Total moved from an opening number of 25.5 to 25.8 toward Over (0.3 pts).

Best current licensed partner quotes: Over 25.5 -115 at FanDuel; Under 26.5 -112 at BetMGM. Quoting books currently span 1.5 pts across the market.

NFL First-Half Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 70.8% of moved lines ahead of close (17 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 7 Behind close) · Sept 24–Nov 9

Release Record — NFL first-half game totals, since Sept 24 (Sept 24–Nov 9): 17-7, +31.3u

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date170724
Last 30 days70310

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 71% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (1st Half Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-new-york-jets-1h-total-2026-11-15-35390" title="Buffalo Bills at New York Jets 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-new-york-jets-1h-total-2026-11-15-35390">BUF @ NYJ 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>