Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 43 books
- MIA +4 (25 consensus books · 43 tracked)
- Market Move
- IND -2.5 to -4 (1.5 pts toward IND)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 11 · At close: 3 · Behind: 9 (23 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- MIA 35.6% · IND 64.4%
- Consensus Spread
- IND -4
- Consensus Total
- 37.5
- Market-Implied Score
- MIA 16.8 – IND 20.8
Market Brief: MIA @ IND Spread
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Spread: vig-free consensus stands at MIA +4 -100 / IND -4 +100 across 25 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: MIA +4 -108 at Caesars; IND -3.5 -114 at ProphetX.
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from IND -2.5 to IND -4 (1.5 pts) across 45 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
What is the MIA @ IND spread consensus line and best price per side?
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Spread: vig-free consensus stands at MIA +4 -100 / IND -4 +100 across 25 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: MIA +4 -108 at Caesars; IND -3.5 -114 at ProphetX.
How has the MIA @ IND spread moved from open to current?
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from IND -2.5 to IND -4 (1.5 pts) across 45 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for MIA @ IND spread?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
Why is the MIA @ IND spread moving?
- Market line moved 0.5 pts toward IND across 12 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MIA @ IND Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 43 sportsbooks, consensus MIA +4. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: MIA @ IND Spread
The Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts spread opened at IND -2.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET) and currently sits at IND -4 across 45 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.5 pts, with net market movement toward IND. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET.
At Thu, Nov 12, 3:44 PM ET, 12 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward IND by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts spread.
Across the 43 sportsbooks currently quoting the Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 25-book consensus prices MIA at +4 -100 (50.0% vig-free probability) and IND at -4 +100 (50.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MIA +4 -108 at Caesars; IND -3.5 -114 at ProphetX.
In the NFL spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 11 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 9 (23 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 55.0% of moved lines ahead of close (11 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 9 Behind close) · Oct 4–Nov 8
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 55% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-spread-2026-11-15-35144" title="Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-spread-2026-11-15-35144">MIA @ IND Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>