Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Release Status
- Locked Release · Logged Tue, Nov 10, 4:33 PM ET · Opens at the final
- Current Consensus across 54 books
- MIA +181 (54 consensus books · 54 tracked)
- Market Move
- IND 58.0% to 67.5% (9.5% implied probability toward IND)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 5 · At close: 1 · Behind: 3 (9 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- MIA 35.6% · IND 64.4%
- Consensus Spread
- IND -4
- Consensus Total
- 37.5
- Market-Implied Score
- MIA 16.8 – IND 20.8
Market Brief: MIA @ IND Moneyline
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MIA +181 / IND -181 across 54 consensus sportsbooks (54 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: MIA +188 at ProphetX; IND -196 at ProphetX.
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), implied probability moved from 58.0% to 67.5% toward IND (9.5% implied probability) across 54 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.
What is the MIA @ IND moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MIA +181 / IND -181 across 54 consensus sportsbooks (54 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: MIA +188 at ProphetX; IND -196 at ProphetX.
How has the MIA @ IND moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), implied probability moved from 58.0% to 67.5% toward IND (9.5% implied probability) across 54 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for MIA @ IND moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.
Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final
Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.
Read on WAGERBIRD →Why is the MIA @ IND moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (1.9% implied probability) toward IND across 14 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MIA @ IND Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 54 sportsbooks, consensus MIA +181. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Summary: MIA @ IND Moneyline
Across 54 tracked sportsbooks, the MIA @ IND moneyline implied probability moved from 58.0% at open to 67.5% toward IND (9.5% implied probability).
Best current licensed partner quotes: MIA +188 at ProphetX; IND -196 at ProphetX. Quoting books currently span 14.9% implied probability across the market.
NFL Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 62.5% of moved lines ahead of close (5 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Oct 11–Nov 8
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 63% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-moneyline-2026-11-15-35144" title="Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-moneyline-2026-11-15-35144">MIA @ IND Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>