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NFL · Away Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Under 19.5 → 16.5 (-3.0 pts)

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Away Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 15 books
16.5 (10 consensus books · 15 tracked)
Market Move
19.5 to 16.5 (3.0 pts toward Under)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 10 · At close: 3 · Behind: 16 (29 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
MIA 35.6% · IND 64.4%
Consensus Spread
IND -4
Consensus Total
37.5
Market-Implied Score
MIA 16.8 – IND 20.8

Market Brief: MIA @ IND Away Team Total

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Away Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 16.5 -105 / Under 16.5 +105 across 10 consensus sportsbooks (15 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 16.5 -120 at BetMGM; Under 20.5 -255 at Fanatics.

Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from 19.5 to 16.5 toward Under (3.0 pts) across 15 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

What is the MIA @ IND away team total consensus line and best price per side?

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Away Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 16.5 -105 / Under 16.5 +105 across 10 consensus sportsbooks (15 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 16.5 -120 at BetMGM; Under 20.5 -255 at Fanatics.

How has the MIA @ IND away team total moved from open to current?

Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from 19.5 to 16.5 toward Under (3.0 pts) across 15 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MIA @ IND away team total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

Why is the MIA @ IND Away Team Total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 4 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 16.5 -105 (51.2% across 10 books)
Best price: 16.5 -120 at BetMGM
Under
Vig-free consensus 16.5 +105 (48.8% across 10 books)
Best price: 20.5 -255 at Fanatics

MIA @ IND Away Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM16.5-12016.5+100BetMGM
Caesars17.5+11617.5-154Caesars
DraftKings16.5-12516.5-105DraftKings
FanDuel16.5-12516.5-102FanDuel
Fanatics20.5+17520.5-255Fanatics

Full market: 15 sportsbooks, consensus 16.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MIA @ IND Away Team Total

The Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts Miami Dolphins team total opened at 19.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 16.5 across 15 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 3.0 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 1:50 AM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts Miami Dolphins team total.

Across the 15 sportsbooks currently quoting the Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts Miami Dolphins team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 10-book consensus prices Over at 16.5 -105 (51.2% vig-free probability) and Under at 16.5 +105 (48.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 16.5 -120 at BetMGM; Under 20.5 -255 at Fanatics.

In the NFL team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 10 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 16 (29 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NFL Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 37.5% of moved lines ahead of close (9 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 15 Behind close) · Sept 27–Nov 8

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date1031629
Last 30 days51915

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 38% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (Away Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-away-team-total-2026-11-15-35144" title="Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts Away Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-away-team-total-2026-11-15-35144">MIA @ IND Away Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>