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NFL · 1st Quarter MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: IND (+4.7% implied prob)

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 18 books
MIA +140 (18 consensus books · 18 tracked)
Market Move
IND 56.4% to 61.2% (4.7% implied probability toward IND)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
MIA 34.9% · IND 65.1%
Consensus Spread
IND -4
Consensus Total
37.5
Market-Implied Score
MIA 16.8 – IND 20.8

Market Brief: MIA @ IND 1st Quarter Moneyline

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MIA +140 / IND -140 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 11:35 PM ET). Best price per side: MIA +136 at FanDuel; IND -142 at DraftKings.

Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), implied probability moved from 56.4% to 61.2% toward IND (4.7% implied probability) across 18 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

What is the MIA @ IND 1st quarter moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MIA +140 / IND -140 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 11:35 PM ET). Best price per side: MIA +136 at FanDuel; IND -142 at DraftKings.

How has the MIA @ IND 1st quarter moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), implied probability moved from 56.4% to 61.2% toward IND (4.7% implied probability) across 18 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MIA @ IND 1st quarter moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

Why is the MIA @ IND 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (1.7% implied probability) toward IND across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

MIA
Vig-free consensus +140 (41.7% across 18 books)
Best price: +136 at FanDuel
IND
Vig-free consensus -140 (58.3% across 18 books)
Best price: -142 at DraftKings

MIA @ IND 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookMIAINDExecution
BetMGM+125-150BetMGM
Caesars+126-152Caesars
DraftKings+120-142DraftKings
FanDuel+136-168FanDuel
Fanatics+120-160Fanatics

Full market: 18 sportsbooks, consensus MIA +140. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MIA @ IND 1st Quarter Moneyline

The Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts first-quarter moneyline opened at 56.4% implied probability for IND on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 61.2% implied probability for IND across 18 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 4.7% implied probability, with net market movement toward IND. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Fri, Nov 13, 11:35 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 11:00 AM ET, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward IND by a median of 1.7% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts first-quarter moneyline.

Across the 18 sportsbooks currently quoting the Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.0% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 18-book consensus prices MIA at +140 (41.7% vig-free probability) and IND at -140 (58.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MIA +136 at FanDuel; IND -142 at DraftKings.

Every NFL first-quarter moneylines release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also reports Closing Line Value (CLV): Ahead of close, At the close, or Behind close against the release sportsbook's closing number. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-1q-moneyline-2026-11-15-35144" title="Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-1q-moneyline-2026-11-15-35144">MIA @ IND 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>