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NFL · 1st Half Away Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Under 9.5 → 7.5 (-2.0 pts)

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts 1st Half Away Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 10 books
7.5 (8 consensus books · 10 tracked)
Market Move
9.5 to 7.5 (2.0 pts toward Under)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 19 · At close: 2 · Behind: 13 (34 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
MIA 35.6% · IND 64.4%
Consensus Spread
IND -4
Consensus Total
37.5
Market-Implied Score
MIA 16.8 – IND 20.8

Market Brief: MIA @ IND 1st Half Away Team Total

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts 1st Half Away Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 7.5 +109 / Under 7.5 -109 across 8 consensus sportsbooks (10 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:48 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 7.5 +105 at BetMGM; Under 7.5 -120 at DraftKings.

Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from 9.5 to 7.5 toward Under (2.0 pts) across 11 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

What is the MIA @ IND 1st half away team total consensus line and best price per side?

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts 1st Half Away Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 7.5 +109 / Under 7.5 -109 across 8 consensus sportsbooks (10 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:48 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 7.5 +105 at BetMGM; Under 7.5 -120 at DraftKings.

How has the MIA @ IND 1st half away team total moved from open to current?

Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from 9.5 to 7.5 toward Under (2.0 pts) across 11 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MIA @ IND 1st half away team total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

Why is the MIA @ IND 1st Half Away Team Total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 3 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 7.5 +109 (47.9% across 8 books)
Best price: 7.5 +105 at BetMGM
Under
Vig-free consensus 7.5 -109 (52.1% across 8 books)
Best price: 7.5 -120 at DraftKings

MIA @ IND 1st Half Away Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM7.5+1057.5-125BetMGM
DraftKings7.5-1107.5-120DraftKings
FanDuel7.5+1047.5-132FanDuel

Full market: 10 sportsbooks, consensus 7.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MIA @ IND 1st Half Away Team Total

The Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts first-half Miami Dolphins team total opened at 9.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 7.5 across 11 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.0 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:48 PM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 1:20 AM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts first-half Miami Dolphins team total.

As of Thu, Nov 12, 1:20 AM ET, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.5% toward Under across 5 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 1.0 pt median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

Across the 10 sportsbooks currently quoting the Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts first-half Miami Dolphins team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 8-book consensus prices Over at 7.5 +109 (47.9% vig-free probability) and Under at 7.5 -109 (52.1% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 7.5 +105 at BetMGM; Under 7.5 -120 at DraftKings.

In the NFL first-half team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 19 · At the close: 2 · Behind close: 13 (34 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NFL First-Half Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 59.4% of moved lines ahead of close (19 Ahead of close · 2 At the close · 13 Behind close) · Sept 27–Nov 8

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date1921334
Last 30 days110516

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 59% finished ahead of the close.

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (1st Half Away Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-1h-away-team-total-2026-11-15-35144" title="Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts 1st Half Away Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-1h-away-team-total-2026-11-15-35144">MIA @ IND 1st Half Away Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>