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NFL · 1st Quarter TotalMarket MovementKickoff

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts 1st Quarter Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 18 books
7.5 (11 consensus books · 18 tracked)
Market Move
7.5 to 7.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
MIA 35.6% · IND 64.4%
Consensus Spread
IND -4
Consensus Total
37.5
Market-Implied Score
MIA 16.8 – IND 20.8

Market Brief: MIA @ IND 1st Quarter Total

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts 1st Quarter Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 7.5 +139 / Under 7.5 -139 across 11 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 6.5 -166 at FanDuel; Under 7.5 -142 at DraftKings.

The line is unchanged since open (7.5) across 19 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

What is the MIA @ IND 1st quarter total consensus line and best price per side?

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts 1st Quarter Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 7.5 +139 / Under 7.5 -139 across 11 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 6.5 -166 at FanDuel; Under 7.5 -142 at DraftKings.

How has the MIA @ IND 1st quarter total moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (7.5) across 19 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MIA @ IND 1st quarter total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

Why is the MIA @ IND 1st Quarter Total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 7 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 7.5 +139 (41.9% across 11 books)
Best price: 6.5 -166 at FanDuel
Under
Vig-free consensus 7.5 -139 (58.1% across 11 books)
Best price: 7.5 -142 at DraftKings

MIA @ IND 1st Quarter Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM7.5+1207.5-145BetMGM
Caesars7.5+1397.5-173Caesars
DraftKings7.5+1207.5-142DraftKings
FanDuel6.5-1666.5+136FanDuel
Fanatics7.5+1207.5-165Fanatics
ProphetX6.5-1766.5+132ProphetX

Full market: 18 sportsbooks, consensus 7.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MIA @ IND 1st Quarter Total

The Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts first-quarter total opened at 7.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 7.5 across 19 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET.

As of Thu, Nov 12, 5:13 AM ET, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.7% toward Under across 7 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 1.0 pt median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

At Thu, Nov 12, 2:19 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts first-quarter total.

Across the 18 sportsbooks currently quoting the Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts first-quarter total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 11-book consensus prices Over at 7.5 +139 (41.9% vig-free probability) and Under at 7.5 -139 (58.1% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 6.5 -166 at FanDuel; Under 7.5 -142 at DraftKings.

Every NFL first-quarter game totals release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also reports Closing Line Value (CLV): Ahead of close, At the close, or Behind close against the release sportsbook's closing number. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (1st Quarter Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-1q-total-2026-11-15-35144" title="Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts 1st Quarter Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/miami-dolphins-at-indianapolis-colts-1q-total-2026-11-15-35144">MIA @ IND 1st Quarter Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>