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NFL · SpreadLocked ReleaseKickoff

Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Release Status
Locked Release · Logged Sun, Nov 8, 9:02 PM ET · Opens at the final
Current Consensus across 43 books
KC -3.5 (30 consensus books · 43 tracked)
Market Move
ATL +3.5 to +3.5 (flat since open)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 11 · At close: 3 · Behind: 9 (23 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
KC 61.9% · ATL 38.1%
Consensus Spread
ATL +3.5
Consensus Total
47.5
Market-Implied Score
KC 25.5 – ATL 22

Market Brief: KC @ ATL Spread

Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons Spread: vig-free consensus stands at KC -3.5 +108 / ATL +3.5 -108 across 30 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:04 PM ET). Best price per side: KC -3 -120 at DraftKings; ATL +3.5 -116 at ProphetX.

The line is unchanged since open (ATL +3.5) across 45 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

What is the KC @ ATL spread consensus line and best price per side?

Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons Spread: vig-free consensus stands at KC -3.5 +108 / ATL +3.5 -108 across 30 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:04 PM ET). Best price per side: KC -3 -120 at DraftKings; ATL +3.5 -116 at ProphetX.

How has the KC @ ATL spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (ATL +3.5) across 45 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for KC @ ATL spread?

WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

Locked Release

Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final

Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.

Read on WAGERBIRD →

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

KC
Vig-free consensus -3.5 +108 (48.1% across 30 books)
Best price: -3 -120 at DraftKings
ATL
Vig-free consensus +3.5 -108 (51.9% across 30 books)
Best price: +3.5 -116 at ProphetX

KC @ ATL Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookKCATLExecution
BetMGM-3.5-102+3.5-118BetMGM
Caesars-3-121+3+101Caesars
DraftKings-3-120+3+100DraftKings
FanDuel-3.5+100+3.5-120FanDuel
Fanatics-3.5+100+3.5-120Fanatics
ProphetX-3.5+109+3.5-116ProphetX

Full market: 43 sportsbooks, consensus KC -3.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Summary: KC @ ATL Spread

Across 43 tracked sportsbooks, the KC @ ATL spread moved from an opening number of ATL +3.5 to ATL +3.5.

Best current licensed partner quotes: KC -3 -120 at DraftKings; ATL +3.5 -116 at ProphetX. Quoting books currently span 0.5 pts across the market.

NFL Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 55.0% of moved lines ahead of close (11 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 9 Behind close) · Oct 4–Nov 8

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date113923
Last 30 days92718

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 55% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-at-atlanta-falcons-spread-2026-11-15-35145" title="Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-at-atlanta-falcons-spread-2026-11-15-35145">KC @ ATL Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>