Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Release Status
- Locked Release · Logged Sun, Nov 8, 9:02 PM ET · Opens at the final
- Current Consensus across 54 books
- KC -162 (54 consensus books · 54 tracked)
- Market Move
- ATL 40.5% to 39.9% (0.6% implied probability toward KC)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 5 · At close: 1 · Behind: 3 (9 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- KC 61.9% · ATL 38.1%
- Consensus Spread
- ATL +3.5
- Consensus Total
- 47.5
- Market-Implied Score
- KC 25.5 – ATL 22
Market Brief: KC @ ATL Moneyline
Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at KC -162 / ATL +162 across 54 consensus sportsbooks (54 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:04 PM ET). Best price per side: KC -170 at ProphetX; ATL +164 at ProphetX.
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), implied probability moved from 40.5% to 39.9% toward KC (0.6% implied probability) across 54 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.
What is the KC @ ATL moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at KC -162 / ATL +162 across 54 consensus sportsbooks (54 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:04 PM ET). Best price per side: KC -170 at ProphetX; ATL +164 at ProphetX.
How has the KC @ ATL moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), implied probability moved from 40.5% to 39.9% toward KC (0.6% implied probability) across 54 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for KC @ ATL moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.
Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final
Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.
Read on WAGERBIRD →Vig-free consensus and best partner price
KC @ ATL Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 54 sportsbooks, consensus KC -162. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Summary: KC @ ATL Moneyline
Across 54 tracked sportsbooks, the KC @ ATL moneyline implied probability moved from 40.5% at open to 39.9% toward KC (0.6% implied probability).
Best current licensed partner quotes: KC -170 at ProphetX; ATL +164 at ProphetX. Quoting books currently span 5.1% implied probability across the market.
NFL Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 62.5% of moved lines ahead of close (5 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Oct 11–Nov 8
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 63% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-at-atlanta-falcons-moneyline-2026-11-15-35145" title="Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-at-atlanta-falcons-moneyline-2026-11-15-35145">KC @ ATL Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>