ENES
NFL · Home Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Under 19.5 → 16.5 (-3.0 pts)

Seattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas Raiders Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 15 books
16.5 (11 consensus books · 15 tracked)
Market Move
19.5 to 16.5 (3.0 pts toward Under)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 10 · At close: 3 · Behind: 16 (29 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
SEA 71.4% · LV 28.6%
Consensus Spread
LV +6.5
Consensus Total
40.5
Market-Implied Score
SEA 23.5 – LV 17

Market Brief: SEA @ LV Home Team Total

Seattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas Raiders Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 16.5 -105 / Under 16.5 +105 across 11 consensus sportsbooks (15 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 16.5 -120 at BetMGM; Under 17.5 -152 at Caesars.

Since open (Mon, Nov 9, 1:30 PM ET), the line moved from 19.5 to 16.5 toward Under (3.0 pts) across 15 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET).

What is the SEA @ LV home team total consensus line and best price per side?

Seattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas Raiders Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 16.5 -105 / Under 16.5 +105 across 11 consensus sportsbooks (15 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 16.5 -120 at BetMGM; Under 17.5 -152 at Caesars.

How has the SEA @ LV home team total moved from open to current?

Since open (Mon, Nov 9, 1:30 PM ET), the line moved from 19.5 to 16.5 toward Under (3.0 pts) across 15 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for SEA @ LV home team total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET).

Why is the SEA @ LV Home Team Total moving?

  • Market line moved 0.0 pts toward Under across 4 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 16.5 -105 (51.2% across 11 books)
Best price: 16.5 -120 at BetMGM
Under
Vig-free consensus 16.5 +105 (48.8% across 11 books)
Best price: 17.5 -152 at Caesars

SEA @ LV Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM16.5-12016.5+100BetMGM
Caesars17.5+11317.5-152Caesars
DraftKings16.5-12016.5-105DraftKings
FanDuel16.5-12516.5-102FanDuel
Fanatics16.5-12016.5-110Fanatics

Full market: 15 sportsbooks, consensus 16.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: SEA @ LV Home Team Total

The Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders team total opened at 19.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 9, 1:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 16.5 across 15 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 3.0 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET.

As of Thu, Nov 12, 3:52 PM ET, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.5% toward Under across 4 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 0.0 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

Across the 15 sportsbooks currently quoting the Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 11-book consensus prices Over at 16.5 -105 (51.2% vig-free probability) and Under at 16.5 +105 (48.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 16.5 -120 at BetMGM; Under 17.5 -152 at Caesars.

In the NFL team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 10 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 16 (29 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NFL Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 37.5% of moved lines ahead of close (9 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 15 Behind close) · Sept 27–Nov 8

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date1031629
Last 30 days51915

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 38% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-las-vegas-raiders-home-team-total-2026-11-15-35259" title="Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-las-vegas-raiders-home-team-total-2026-11-15-35259">SEA @ LV Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>