Klay Thompson · 3-Pointers Made
- Release & Line
- Over 3.5
- Fair Line
- 3.9
- Book
- DraftKings (+105)
Thompson’s concentrated perimeter shot volume makes four made threes attainable without repeating his latest shooting accuracy.
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
Miami Heat @ Utah Jazz Total: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at 227.5 after opening at 228.5 (46 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (NBA game totals): 66.7% of moved lines ahead of close (2 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 1 Behind close) · Oct 27–Nov 10.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET), the line moved from 228.5 to 227.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 46 sportsbooks. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 227.5 (opened 228.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.
Miami Heat @ Utah Jazz Total: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at 227.5 after opening at 228.5 (46 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (NBA game totals): 66.7% of moved lines ahead of close (2 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 1 Behind close) · Oct 27–Nov 10.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET), the line moved from 228.5 to 227.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 46 sportsbooks.
Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 227.5 (opened 228.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.
Full market: 5 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
The total opened 228.5 and closed 227.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).
WAGERBIRD had no total release on this game.
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.
Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 66.7% of moved lines ahead of close (2 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 1 Behind close) · Oct 27–Nov 10
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 67% finished ahead of the close.
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Miami Heat at Utah Jazz (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/miami-heat-at-utah-jazz-total-2026-11-10-34653" title="Miami Heat at Utah Jazz Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/miami-heat-at-utah-jazz-total-2026-11-10-34653">MIA @ UTA Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Miami Heat's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
-15.5 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 103.0 vs. 118.5 Posted Team Total)
-15.5 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 103.0 vs. 118.5 Posted Team Total)
+6.8 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 116.3 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Utah Jazz's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
+6.8 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 116.3 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)
| 18.5 |
| 20.2% |
| 15.6%(-4.6% vs Hist) |
| 0.0 |
| Team Tide Shift |
#3 Davion Mitchell MIA · Prev 13.5 (0.0) | 13.5 | 13.2% | 11.4%(-1.8% vs Hist) | +2.0 | Steady Share |
#4 Klay Thompson MIA · Prev 11.5 (+2.0) | 13.5 | 16.3% | 11.4%(-4.9% vs Hist) | +6.0 | Usage Transfer |
#5 Pelle Larsson MIA · Prev 11.5 (0.0) | 11.5 | 11.0% | 9.7%(-1.3% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share |
#6 Andrew Wiggins MIA · Prev 9.5 (-1.0) | 8.5 | 7.0% | 7.2%(+0.2% vs Hist) | -4.0 | Team Tide Shift |
Thompson’s concentrated perimeter shot volume makes four made threes attainable without repeating his latest shooting accuracy.