Klay Thompson · 3-Pointers Made
- Release & Line
- Over 3.5
- Fair Line
- 3.9
- Book
- DraftKings (+115)
Thompson’s concentrated perimeter shot volume makes four made threes attainable without repeating his latest shooting accuracy.
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (ET)
Miami Heat @ Utah Jazz Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MIA -330 / UTA +330 across 56 consensus sportsbooks (56 total books tracked as of Tue, Nov 10, 5:41 PM ET). Best price per side: MIA -360 at ProphetX; UTA +345 at ProphetX.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET), implied probability moved from 23.8% to 24.4% toward UTA (0.6% implied probability) across 56 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no posted release on this market (- No Release); tracking pre-kickoff consensus movement (Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 PM ET).
Miami Heat @ Utah Jazz Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MIA -330 / UTA +330 across 56 consensus sportsbooks (56 total books tracked as of Tue, Nov 10, 5:41 PM ET). Best price per side: MIA -360 at ProphetX; UTA +345 at ProphetX.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET), implied probability moved from 23.8% to 24.4% toward UTA (0.6% implied probability) across 56 sportsbooks.
WAGERBIRD has no posted release on this market (- No Release); tracking pre-kickoff consensus movement (Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 PM ET).
Full market: 56 sportsbooks, consensus MIA -330. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
The Miami Heat at Utah Jazz moneyline opened at 23.8% implied probability for UTA on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET) and currently sits at 24.4% implied probability for UTA across 56 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.6% implied probability, with net market movement toward UTA. Scheduled kickoff is Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Tue, Nov 10, 5:41 PM ET.
At Tue, Nov 10, 6:19 AM ET, 21 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UTA by a median of 2.9% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Miami Heat at Utah Jazz moneyline.
At Tue, Nov 10, 1:27 PM ET, 28 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward MIA by a median of 3.5% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Miami Heat at Utah Jazz moneyline.
Across the 56 sportsbooks currently quoting the Miami Heat at Utah Jazz moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.3% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 56-book consensus prices MIA at -330 (76.8% vig-free probability) and UTA at +330 (23.2% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MIA -360 at ProphetX; UTA +345 at ProphetX.
In the NBA moneylines betting lane, WAGERBIRD's released positions have beaten the release book's closing line 3 times, tied 0, and lost 1 season to date (4 graded releases through 2026-11-09). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
WAGERBIRD measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each release's line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the release was posted (settled releases through 2026-11-09).
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Miami Heat at Utah Jazz (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/miami-heat-at-utah-jazz-moneyline-2026-11-10-34653" title="Miami Heat at Utah Jazz Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/miami-heat-at-utah-jazz-moneyline-2026-11-10-34653">MIA @ UTA Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Miami Heat's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
-19.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 99.4 vs. 118.5 Posted Team Total)
-19.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 99.4 vs. 118.5 Posted Team Total)
-3.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 105.6 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Utah Jazz's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
-3.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 105.6 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)
| 17.5 |
| 21.2% |
| 14.8%(-6.4% vs Hist) |
| -1.0 |
| Usage Transfer |
#3 Davion Mitchell MIA · Prev 13.5 (0.0) | 13.5 | 13.8% | 11.4%(-2.4% vs Hist) | +2.0 | Steady Share |
#4 Klay Thompson MIA · Prev 11.5 (+2.0) | 13.5 | 17.0% | 11.4%(-5.6% vs Hist) | +6.0 | Usage Transfer |
#5 Pelle Larsson MIA · Prev 11.5 (0.0) | 11.5 | 11.5% | 9.7%(-1.8% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Steady Share |
#6 Andrew Wiggins MIA · Prev 9.5 (0.0) | 9.5 | 7.4% | 8.0%(+0.6% vs Hist) | -3.0 | Steady Share |
Thompson’s concentrated perimeter shot volume makes four made threes attainable without repeating his latest shooting accuracy.