NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: MIAPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Davion Mitchell (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Davion Mitchell Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Mon, Nov 2, 9:00 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 10:56 AM CT

NBA Player Props CLV Counts

73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Davion Mitchell Releases: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 5), Davion Mitchell's posted points line has held net flat at 11.5.

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Davion Mitchell)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 26	DAL @ MIA	11.5 (+104)	—	21	Over
Oct 28	MIA @ ATL	11.5 (-106)	0.0	10	Under
Oct 30	IND @ MIA	11.5 (-113)	0.0	15	Over
Nov 2	MIA @ LAL	12.5 (-102)	+1.0	15	Over
Nov 4	MIA @ LAC	11.5 (-120)	-1.0	11	Under
Nov 5	MIA @ GSW	11.5 (-120)	0.0	22	Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Davion Mitchell Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +4.2 vs. 0.0 book step adjustment (+4.2 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+4.2Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0

Window Open Line: 11.5
Current Posted Line: 11.5
Book Cumulative Step: 0.0
Actual Window Avg: 15.7
Actual Output Delta: +4.2
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 26 · vs DAL	11.5	—	21	+9.5
Oct 28 · @ ATL	11.5	0.0	10	-1.5
Oct 30 · vs IND	11.5	0.0	15	+3.5
Nov 2 · @ LAL	12.5	+1.0	15	+2.5
Nov 4 · @ LAC	11.5	-1.0	11	-0.5
Nov 5 · @ GSW	11.5	0.0	22	+10.5

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Davion Mitchell Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 1 Lost)

0 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Davion Mitchell prop write-up.

Davion Mitchell CLV Counts

0 Beat · 0 Tied · 1 Lost

1 Settled CLV Receipt

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release Quote	Closing Line	Actual	CLV Grade	Write-Up
Nov 2	MIA @ LAL	Points	Over 12.5 (+100) · Fanatics	12.5	15	Lost	Read Write-Up →

Archived Settled Davion Mitchell Prop Write-Ups

Nov 2 CT · MIA @ LAL · PointsFull Write-Up →

Mitchell's expanded shot volume supports enough scoring to clear a modest points threshold without requiring his early-season efficiency to persist.

Counter-Case: Pressure on the ball can turn driving opportunities into passes rather than shots. Poor finishing or an abbreviated fourth quarter can leave the guard short despite substantial time on the floor.

Davion Mitchell WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release	Close	Actual	CLV Grade
Nov 2	MIA @ LAL	Points	Over 12.5	12.5	15	Lost

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	73	11	36
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	73	11	36