Klay Thompson (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 8), sportsbooks adjusted Klay Thompson's posted points line upward in 4 of 5 game-over-game steps from 8.5 to 12.5 (+4.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Klay Thompson)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA @ ATL | 8.5 (-125) | — | 3 | Under | |
| IND @ MIA | 7.5 (-113) | -1.0 | 25 | Over | |
| MIA @ LAL | 8.5 (-120) | +1.0 | 19 | Over | |
| MIA @ LAC | 9.5 (-114) | +1.0 | 30 | Over | |
| MIA @ GSW | 11.5 (-102) | +2.0 | 11 | Under | |
| MIA @ SAC | 12.5 (-102) | +1.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Klay Thompson Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Actual output +9.1 vs. +4.0 book step adjustment (+5.1 Unpriced Book Lag).
- Window Open Line
- 8.5
- Current Posted Line
- 12.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +4.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 17.6
- Actual Output Delta
- +9.1
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · @ ATL | 8.5 | — | 3 | -5.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs IND | 7.5 | -1.0 | 25 | +17.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ LAL | 8.5 | +1.0 | 19 | +10.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ LAC | 9.5 | +1.0 | 30 | +20.5 |
| Nov 5 · @ GSW | 11.5 | +2.0 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Nov 8 · @ SAC | 12.5 | +1.0 | — | — |
Klay Thompson Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Klay Thompson.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Klay Thompson.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (75 Beat, 11 Tied, 39 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 7 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 75 | 11 | 39 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 9 CT) | 75 | 11 | 39 |