Ace Bailey (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Ace Bailey's posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 12.5 to 13.5 (+1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Ace Bailey)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM @ UTA | 12.5 (+105) | — | 17 | Over | |
| SAS @ UTA | 14.5 (-102) | +2.0 | 19 | Over | |
| POR @ UTA | 14.5 (+105) | 0.0 | 9 | Under | |
| UTA @ SAS | 12.5 (-125) | -2.0 | 5 | Under | |
| UTA @ NOP | 13.5 (-105) | +1.0 | 15 | Over | |
| UTA @ DAL | 13.5 (-105) | 0.0 | 12 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Ace Bailey Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (+1.0) tracks actual window production (+0.3).
- Window Open Line
- 12.5
- Current Posted Line
- 13.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 12.8
- Actual Output Delta
- +0.3
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 · vs MEM | 12.5 | — | 17 | +4.5 |
| Oct 28 · vs SAS | 14.5 | +2.0 | 19 | +4.5 |
| Oct 31 · vs POR | 14.5 | 0.0 | 9 | -5.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ SAS | 12.5 | -2.0 | 5 | -7.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ NOP | 13.5 | +1.0 | 15 | +1.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ DAL | 13.5 | 0.0 | 12 | -1.5 |
Ace Bailey Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Ace Bailey.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Ace Bailey.
Ace Bailey WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | POR @ UTA | Rebounds | Over 5.5 | 5.5 | 7 | Lost |
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |