NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: UTAPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Up (+1.0 over 6 games)

Jaxson Hayes (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
Jaxson Hayes Releases: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Jaxson Hayes's posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 7.5 to 8.5 (+1.0).11.510.59.58.57.56.57.510.58.57.59.58.5Oct 25LAL @ UTAOct 28SAS @ UTAOct 31POR @ UTANov 2UTA @ SASNov 4UTA @ NOPNov 6UTA @ DAL

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Jaxson Hayes's posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 7.5 to 8.5 (+1.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Jaxson Hayes)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
LAL @ UTA7.5 (+100)—9Over
SAS @ UTA(Missed 1g)10.5 (-108)+3.02Under
POR @ UTA8.5 (+100)-2.07Under
UTA @ SAS7.5 (-113)-1.09Over
UTA @ NOP9.5 (-104)+2.02Under
UTA @ DAL8.5 (-102)-1.08Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production6-Game Window

Jaxson Hayes Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted +1.0 vs. -1.3 actual output delta (-2.3 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-2.3Max Single-Game Book Step: +3.0
Window Open Line
7.5
Current Posted Line
8.5
Book Cumulative Step
+1.0
Actual Window Avg
6.2
Actual Output Delta
-1.3
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Jaxson Hayes Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output1309Oct 25vs LAL2Oct 28vs SAS7Oct 31vs POR9Nov 2@ SAS2Nov 4@ NOP8Nov 6@ DAL
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 25 · vs LAL7.5—9+1.5
Oct 28 · vs SAS10.5+3.02-8.5
Oct 31 · vs POR8.5-2.07-1.5
Nov 2 · @ SAS7.5-1.09+1.5
Nov 4 · @ NOP9.5+2.02-7.5
Nov 6 · @ DAL8.5-1.08-0.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Jaxson Hayes Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Jaxson Hayes.

Jaxson Hayes CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Jaxson Hayes.

Jaxson Hayes WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Oct 31POR @ UTAReboundsOver 5.55.57Lost

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136