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Miami Heat

The matchup. The market. The case for your next move.

Results, schedule and game-day research ·
Season record2–5Lost last game
Against the spread2–5At the closing number
Last 5 games
LLWWL
Oldest to newest →
Next matchup

Heat at Clippers

Tonightat Clippers9:30 PM CT 10:30 PM ET
Heat −5Total 234Heat ML −205Kalshi Heat 68¢ at 5:20 AM CT Wed 11/4Lines at 2:26 AM CT
Last time out Mon 11/2L 117-138at Lakers
Inside the game-day briefing
5Reported player statuses10Projected starters
Read the research and matchup notes

Tonight’s Heat pick

Tips in 14h 10m

Heat at Clippers

Wed Nov 4 · 9:30 PM CT · 10:30 PM ET · released and locked
58
Signal strength
3 units
Signal strength 58, released before tip with its price locked.
58
Tonight’s pick is locked.Game pick · price locked at release
7–3
on Heat games this season
70.0%
win rate, 10 graded picks

Every Heat pick we have graded is listed below, wins and losses.

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Game-day research

Heat at Clippers preview: what our research says

Miami enters tonight at 2-5, with a 1-3 home record and a 1-2 road record. The 129-117 win at Atlanta and 145-125 home win over Indiana were followed by a 117-138 loss to the Lakers. That defeat began the western trip and put the focus back on defense.

The roster now centers on Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo. Miami acquired Antetokounmpo and Bobby Portis Jr. from Milwaukee and added shooting through Klay Thompson and Tim Hardaway Jr. Antetokounmpo had 30 points, 12 rebounds and seven assists against the Lakers. Thompson scored 19, while Adebayo had 16.

Erik Spoelstra has kept the same starters throughout the season so far. Portis was the first reserve used against the Lakers. The backup guard role remains unsettled between Ryan Conwell and Dru Smith, with Smith used later for his work in the zone. Spoelstra has stressed defensive effort and discipline rather than treating the roster turnover as an excuse.

For tonight, Antetokounmpo is probable with a right wrist sprain. Myron Gardner is questionable with a right quadriceps bruise, while Smith is available despite a facial cut. Miami visits the 1-6 Clippers at 9:30 PM CT. Los Angeles lists Bradley Beal, Brandon Ingram, Jordan Miller and Yanic Konan Niederhauser as out.

Season at time of writing

Miami is 2-5: 1-3 at home and 1-2 on the road. The offense produced wins of 129-117 at Atlanta and 145-125 against Indiana, but Miami then lost 117-138 to the Lakers. Spoelstra has identified defensive effort and discipline as problems.

The news

Building around Giannis

Miami brought in Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bobby Portis Jr. from Milwaukee. Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware and Kasparas Jakučionis went the other way with draft assets. Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.4 points, 12.3 rebounds and 5.7 assists.

Defense remains the main concern

Miami allowed the Lakers to score 79 points before halftime, while Luka Doncic finished with 42. Erik Spoelstra has called for better defensive effort, concentration and discipline rather than using roster changes as an excuse.

Stable starters, shifting reserve guard minutes

Spoelstra has kept the same starters throughout the season so far. Portis was the first reserve used against the Lakers. Ryan Conwell entered before Dru Smith, but Smith later took the backup guard minutes as Miami used its zone defense.

New shooters contribute

Klay Thompson signed after a Dallas buyout, and Tim Hardaway Jr. also joined Miami in the offseason. Against Indiana, Thompson supplied 25 points and seven made threes, while Bam Adebayo contributed 27 points.

Injuries

Injury report as of : Myron Gardner is questionable; Giannis Antetokounmpo is probable; Dru Smith is available. For the Clippers, Bradley Beal, Brandon Ingram, Jordan Miller and Yanic Konan Niederhauser are out; Derrick Jones Jr., Rui Hachimura and Max Strus are available.

Heat
  • Myron GardnerRight quadriceps contusion; availability tonight remains unresolved.Questionable
Clippers
  • Bradley BealRight knee management; the latest official report gives no return date.Out
  • Brandon IngramRight heel surgery with a partial Achilles tear; previously week-to-week, without a confirmed return date.Out
  • Jordan MillerLeft rotator cuff surgery; a six-month reassessment was planned, not a confirmed return date.Out
  • Yanic Konan NiederhauserRight-foot Lisfranc surgery; the preseason timetable placed his return no earlier than January.Out
The matchup
Heat projected starters
  • Davion MitchellPG
  • Klay ThompsonSG
  • Andrew WigginsSF
  • Giannis AntetokounmpoPF
  • Bam AdebayoC
Clippers projected starters
  • Darius GarlandPG
  • Kris DunnSG
  • Derrick Jones Jr.SF
  • Rui HachimuraPF
  • Isaiah JacksonC
Updated How we grade

Written by the WagerBird research team from our own results, line captures and graded picks. Updated . How we grade →

Heat at Clippers odds and prediction markets

Sportsbook prices at 5:21 AM CT

Prices as of : the Heat are −5.5 to −4.5 at five sportsbooks and the total is 233.5–234.5.

WagerBird earns a commission when you sign up through a sportsbook link on this page. That does not change the prices shown or which one is marked best. Offers are for new customers in states where each sportsbook is licensed; terms apply at the sportsbook.

Prediction markets

Kalshi and Polymarket on Heat at Clippers

Prices at 5:20 AM CT Wed 11/4

Heat to win costs 68¢ on Kalshi, against −198 at the best sportsbook (FanDuel). A Yes price in cents is the market’s chance in percent; Kalshi’s trading fee is extra.

MarketKalshiPolymarketBest sportsbook
Heat to win68¢68% chance66¢66% chance−198FanDuel
Clippers to win37¢37% chance37¢37% chance+171DraftKings

Sportsbooks

SportsbookSpreadMoney lineTotalSign up
HeatClippersHeatClippersOverUnder
FanDuel−4.5−115+4.5−105−198+166o233.5−110u233.5−110Sign up
DraftKingsClaim the DraftKings new-customer offer−5.5−109+5.5−111−205+171o234.5−105u234.5−115Sign up
BetMGMNJ MI PA WV: Bet $10 Get $150. All other states: $1500 Back in Bonus Bets if You Don't Win
Code WAGERBIRD1
−5.5−105+5.5−115−210+170o234.5−105u234.5−115Sign up
CaesarsBet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Wagers Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
Code WBIRD1DYW
−5−110+5−110−205+170o234−110u234−110Sign up
FanaticsNew Customers Get Up To $1,000 Matched In FanCash−5−110+5−110−200+165o234−110u234−110Sign up

BestGreen is the best price at the same line among these five sportsbooks. Prices as of 5:21 AM CT; they move until the start, and each sportsbook shows its live price before you confirm.

Line movement

at Los Angeles ClippersWed Nov 4 · 9:30 PM CT · 10:30 PM ET

Lines as of : the Heat spread is −5 (opened −5.5); the total is 234 (opened 233.5).

Heat spread−5.5−5+0.5
Total233.5234+0.5
Heat team total118.5119.5+1
Heat money line−210−205+5

Open, then now.

Results and against the spread

2–5 · 2–5 ATS
Record
2–5
Against the spread
2–5
Form, last 5
LLWWL
Last game
L 117-138at Lakers
DateGameResultSpreadATS
Mon 11/2at Los Angeles LakersL 117-138+2Missed
Fri 10/30vs Indiana PacersW 145-125−8.5Covered
Wed 10/28at Atlanta HawksW 129-117+2.5Covered
Mon 10/26vs Dallas MavericksL 109-113−7.5Missed
Sat 10/24at Charlotte HornetsL 110-115−4.5Missed

Spread is the Heat’ closing number. ATS is against the spread at the closing number.

Schedule

at WarriorsThu 11/5 · 9:00 PM CT10:00 PM ET
at KingsSun 11/8 · 8:00 PM CT9:00 PM ET
at JazzTue 11/10 · 8:00 PM CT9:00 PM ET

Our Heat picks, graded

Wins and losses

7–3 on Heat games this season · 70.0%

  • 68
    Full Game Player Prop: Giannis Antetokounmpo Points under 31.5 −112Mon 11/2
    win+1 pt
  • 64
    Full Game Player Prop: Davion Mitchell Points over 12.5 +100Mon 11/2
    win
  • 61
    Full Game Player Prop: Bobby Portis Rebounds over 7.5 +133Fri 10/30
    loss
  • 66
    Full Game Player Prop: Andrew Wiggins Points under 13.5 −121Fri 10/30
    win
  • 63
    Full Game Player Prop: Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists under 6.5 −144Fri 10/30
    loss
  • 65
    Full Game Player Prop: Bam Adebayo Threes under 1.5 −152Fri 10/30
    win+6.4%
  • 66
    1st Half Team Total: Indiana Pacers Under 55.5 −120Fri 10/30
    loss
  • 62
    1st Half Team Total: Miami Heat Under 63.5 −120Mon 10/26
    win
  • 58
    1st Half Game Total: Under 121.5 −110Fri 10/23
    win+2.1%
  • 60
    Full Game Player Prop: Anthony Edwards Assists under 3.5 −118Wed 10/21
    win

The orange number is Signal strength. CLV compares our price with the closing price at the same sportsbook; shown when it is in our favor. How we grade

Heat questions, answered

Is there a Heat pick for this matchup?

Yes. Our Heat pick for Heat at Clippers was released before tip at Signal strength 58. Unlock it in the Terminal.

What is the Heat's record this season?

The Miami Heat are 2-5: 1-3 at home and 1-2 on the road.

When do the Heat play next?

The Heat visit the Los Angeles Clippers on Wednesday, November 4 at 9:30 PM CT (10:30 PM ET).

Who is on the Heat injury report?

The Heat list Giannis Antetokounmpo (Probable), Myron Gardner (Questionable), Dru Smith (Available).

What matters for the Heat against the Clippers?

Miami visits the 1-6 Clippers at 9:30 PM CT after losing 117-138 to the Lakers. Giannis Antetokounmpo is probable with a right wrist sprain, Myron Gardner is questionable with a right quadriceps contusion, and Dru Smith is available despite a facial laceration. The Clippers list Bradley Beal, Brandon Ingram, Jordan Miller and Yanic Konan Niederhauser as out.

Heat Odds Tonight at Clippers: Injuries, Spread, Picks | WagerBird